Thinking in Markets

S1E92 - When a Productivity Boom Tries to Pull Rates Down


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Kevin Hassett's latest argument is simple on the surface but tricky underneath: if AI-driven productivity is rising, payroll growth can cool without signaling a weak economy, and inflation pressure may ease enough for lower rates. Michelle and Vox unpack what that means for the neutral rate, why markets should be careful with political rate stories, and why the Fed still decides by committee rather than by one loud voice.

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Thinking in MarketsBy Vox