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EMERGENCY POD! On this episode, Jake and Mark dive into the controversial 4th down decisions made by Detroit Lions Head Coach Dan Campbell. While we're usually a baseball podcast, the opportunity to discuss the sweet spot between data analytics and human decision making in this year's NFC Championship Game was just too good to pass up. What do Jake and Mark think about the decision, and -- perhaps more importantly -- the rhetoric regarding the topic?
(0:00) Intro
(2:09) Initial Reactions
(4:48) "The Analytics Say..."
(7:26) All Models Are Wrong, But Some Are Useful
(10:55) Considering Momentum
(14:13) Signal-To-Noise Ratio & "Playoff Factor"
(18:45) Our Thoughts on Campbell's Decisions
(20:41) Hitting a 16 Against a 7
By Jake Lebovitch & Mark AbramovitzEMERGENCY POD! On this episode, Jake and Mark dive into the controversial 4th down decisions made by Detroit Lions Head Coach Dan Campbell. While we're usually a baseball podcast, the opportunity to discuss the sweet spot between data analytics and human decision making in this year's NFC Championship Game was just too good to pass up. What do Jake and Mark think about the decision, and -- perhaps more importantly -- the rhetoric regarding the topic?
(0:00) Intro
(2:09) Initial Reactions
(4:48) "The Analytics Say..."
(7:26) All Models Are Wrong, But Some Are Useful
(10:55) Considering Momentum
(14:13) Signal-To-Noise Ratio & "Playoff Factor"
(18:45) Our Thoughts on Campbell's Decisions
(20:41) Hitting a 16 Against a 7