Mastering Risk

Scenarios for Planning - Hazards and the Real World


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People often find it difficult to wrap their heads around preparedness - what could happen to me and my family? If they immediately turn to the most dangerous possibility, well it becomes too overwhelming and then the population simply avoids the conversation and carries on with their lives. If the immediate thought is a minor inconvenience, one through which they have navigated many time, well what's the point - they did it before they can do it again. Hence, professionals often use scenario planning for preparedness. Taking locals through actual situations which they could face in their lives, realistic and just enough severity to breach the apathy, but not enough to cause avoidance. It's and art and this week, we will present scenario planning for your consideration.   There are the expected natural hazards - earthquakes, hurricanes, floods, etc.  But there are also the human political induced.  Food shortages as a result of sanctions, conflict disrupting supply chains, the ending of globalization and your choice to be dependant on International goods / foods.  

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Mastering RiskBy Dr. Jeff Donaldson, CD


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