Scottie Scheffler entered the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am as a 25% favorite and immediately collapsed to 3.5% win equity after shooting even par while Japan's Ryo Hisatsune dropped a 62—now he's ten shots back and basically cooked. Meanwhile defending champ Rory McIlroy sits just six shots behind at four under, knows this course intimately after dominating last year at 21-under, and the market's pricing him like he's just another random guy in the field. With weekend storms brewing and Chris Gotterup surging at eight under, someone's getting catastrophically mispriced—and it's probably Rory at ten-to-one while everyone watches Scheffler bleed out.