Decision Nerds

Seeing the future


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In this episode we discuss how we can make better forecasts with Professor Paul Goodwin.

We tackle everything from the techniques available, to human problems around understanding, bias and incentives. See the chapter headings for full details.


Notes
Philip Tetlock's book is Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

A paper that describes the key concepts can be found here. 

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Decision NerdsBy Paul Richards & Joe Wiggins

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