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Sharp China: A Basic Consensus on Arrangements to Address US-China Concerns; The New Five-Year Plan Sounds Familiar; Nexperia as an Object Lesson
This is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit sinocism.com
Show Notes:
On today’s show Andrew and Bill begin with the looming Trump-Xi meeting in Seoul, South Korea, and the “consensuses” agreed upon in Kuala Lampur this past weekend. Topics include: Treasury Scott Bessent’s comments indicate that the recent rare earth export controls could be delayed by a year, questions about what the U.S. might have conceded to secure that delay, talk of removing fentanyl tariffs, how Beijing sees the US in 2025, and a Trump visit to Beijing that may portend relative stability in the short term. At the end: Parsing the five-year plan and two stories about the Chinese economy, the scale of Europe’s Nexperia problem becomes clearer, and thoughts on the challenge facing Europe and the United States as they attempt to build secure supply chains in the years to come.
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Fourth Plenum communiqué; New CMC vice chair; US-China meetings; Nexperia mess; PRC AI in Global South -- Sinocism
US, China Tee Up Sweeping Trade Deal for Trump, Xi to Finish -- Bloomberg
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Trump, Xi to Discuss Lowering China Tariffs for Fentanyl Crackdown -- WSJ
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By Bill BishopThis is a free preview of a paid episode. To hear more, visit sinocism.com
Show Notes:
On today’s show Andrew and Bill begin with the looming Trump-Xi meeting in Seoul, South Korea, and the “consensuses” agreed upon in Kuala Lampur this past weekend. Topics include: Treasury Scott Bessent’s comments indicate that the recent rare earth export controls could be delayed by a year, questions about what the U.S. might have conceded to secure that delay, talk of removing fentanyl tariffs, how Beijing sees the US in 2025, and a Trump visit to Beijing that may portend relative stability in the short term. At the end: Parsing the five-year plan and two stories about the Chinese economy, the scale of Europe’s Nexperia problem becomes clearer, and thoughts on the challenge facing Europe and the United States as they attempt to build secure supply chains in the years to come.
Related Readings:
Latest US-China “framework”; EU’s rare earths stress; 80th Anniversary of Taiwan’s Restoration; Financial Street Forum; PLA; B30A chips -- Sinocism
Fourth Plenum communiqué; New CMC vice chair; US-China meetings; Nexperia mess; PRC AI in Global South -- Sinocism
US, China Tee Up Sweeping Trade Deal for Trump, Xi to Finish -- Bloomberg
Trump Suggests He May Drop Probe on First-Term China Trade Deal -- Bloomberg
Trump, Xi to Discuss Lowering China Tariffs for Fentanyl Crackdown -- WSJ
Most-Wanted Fentanyl Producer Is Extradited to the U.S. After Brazen Escape -- Wall Street Journal
China, U.S. reach basic consensuses on arrangements to address respective trade concerns -- Xinhua
Trump is poised to end Washington’s Decade of the China Hawks -- Semafor
China Deepens Push for Tech Self-Reliance Ahead of US Talks
Netherlands-China chip war terrifies European car industry -- Politico
Why China keeps winning the trade war -- FT