AI Post Transformers

Simulating Individuals with Self-Reported LLM Agents


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This episode explores a paper on building reusable LLM-based simulations of specific individuals by grounding agents in people’s own interviews, survey responses, or both, rather than relying on thin demographic personas. It explains how the system was tested on 1,052 Americans using holdout evaluations across survey questions, personality traits, behavioral experiments, and randomized intervention outcomes to measure real generalization instead of simple recall. The discussion highlights the main result that self-report-grounded agents performed much better than demographics-only baselines, with combined interview-and-survey agents reaching 86 percent of a person’s own two-week consistency versus 74 percent for demographics alone. It is interesting because it frames these agents as a possible new tool for social science and policy research while also probing hard questions about fairness, stereotype reduction, and whether strong results on language-based self-reports truly amount to deep behavior simulation.
Sources:
1. LLM Agents Grounded in Self-Reports Enable General-Purpose Simulation of Individuals — Joon Sung Park, Carolyn Q. Zou, Jonne Kamphorst, Niles Egan, Aaron Shaw, Benjamin Mako Hill, Carrie Cai, Meredith Ringel Morris, Percy Liang, Robb Willer, Michael S. Bernstein, 2024
http://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10109
2. Generative Agents: Interactive Simulacra of Human Behavior — Joon Sung Park, Joseph C. O'Brien, Carrie J. Cai, Meredith Ringel Morris, Percy Liang, Michael S. Bernstein, 2023
https://arxiv.org/abs/2304.03442
3. Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samples — Lisa P. Argyle, Ethan C. Busby, Nancy Fulda, Joshua Gubler, Christopher Rytting, David Wingate, 2022
https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.06899
4. Generative Agent Simulations of 1,000 People — Joon Sung Park, Carolyn Q. Zou, Aaron Shaw, Benjamin Mako Hill, Carrie Cai, Meredith Ringel Morris, Robb Willer, Percy Liang, Michael S. Bernstein, 2024
https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10109
5. AI-Augmented Surveys: Leveraging Large Language Models and Surveys for Opinion Prediction — Junsol Kim, Byungkyu Lee, 2023
https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.09620
6. Large Language Models Show Human-like Social Desirability Biases in Survey Responses — Aadesh Salecha, Molly E. Ireland, Shashanka Subrahmanya, Joao Sedoc, Lyle H. Ungar, Johannes C. Eichstaedt, 2024
https://arxiv.org/abs/2405.06058
7. Interview-Informed Generative Agents for Product Discovery: A Validation Study — Zichao Wang, Alexa Siu, 2026
https://arxiv.org/abs/2603.29890
8. Large Language Models as Simulated Economic Agents: What Can We Learn from Homo Silicus? — John J. Horton, Apostolos Filippas, Benjamin S. Manning, 2023
https://arxiv.org/abs/2301.07543
9. From Individual to Society: A Survey on Social Simulation Driven by Large Language Model-based Agents — Xinyi Mou, Xuanwen Ding, Qi He, Liang Wang, Jingcong Liang, Xinnong Zhang, et al., 2024
https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.03563
10. Using Large Language Models to Create AI Personas for Replication, Generalization and Prediction of Media Effects: An Empirical Test of 133 Published Experimental Research Findings — Leo Yeykelis, Kaavya Pichai, James J. Cummings, Byron Reeves, 2024
https://arxiv.org/abs/2408.16073
11. Synthetic Users, Real Differences: an Evaluation Framework for User Simulation in Multi-Turn Conversations — Yu Lu Liu, Hyokun Yun, Tanya Roosta, Ziang Xiao, 2026
https://arxiv.org/abs/2605.02624
12. Latent Human Traits in the Language of Social Media: An Open-Vocabulary Approach — Vivek Kulkarni, Margaret L. Kern, David Stillwell, Michal Kosinski, Sandra Matz, Lyle Ungar, Steven Skiena, H. Andrew Schwartz, 2017
https://arxiv.org/abs/1705.08038
13. Is ChatGPT a Good Personality Recognizer? A Preliminary Study — Yu Ji, Wen Wu, Hong Zheng, Yi Hu, Xi Chen, Liang He, 2023
https://arxiv.org/abs/2307.03952
14. Can LLMs Infer Personality from Real World Conversations? — Jianfeng Zhu, Ruoming Jin, Karin G. Coifman, 2025
https://arxiv.org/abs/2507.14355
15. The Personality Illusion: Revealing Dissociation Between Self-Reports & Behavior in LLMs — Pengrui Han, Rafal Kocielnik, Peiyang Song, Ramit Debnath, Dean Mobbs, Anima Anandkumar, R. Michael Alvarez, 2025
https://arxiv.org/abs/2509.03730
16. Marked Personas: Using Natural Language Prompts to Measure Stereotypes in Language Models — Myra Cheng, Esin Durmus, Dan Jurafsky, 2023
https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.18189
17. On the steerability of large language models toward data-driven personas — Junyi Li, Ninareh Mehrabi, Charith Peris, Palash Goyal, Kai-Wei Chang, Aram Galstyan, Richard Zemel, Rahul Gupta, 2023
https://arxiv.org/abs/2311.04978
18. Reading Between the Prompts: How Stereotypes Shape LLM's Implicit Personalization — Vera Neplenbroek, Arianna Bisazza, Raquel Fernandez, 2025
https://arxiv.org/abs/2505.16467
19. Using Large Language Models to Simulate Multiple Humans and Replicate Human Subject Studies — Gati Aher, Rosa I. Arriaga, Adam Tauman Kalai, 2022
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Using+Large+Language+Models+to+Simulate+Multiple+Humans+and+Replicate+Human+Subject+Studies
20. Can Large Language Models Capture Public Opinion about Global Warming? An Empirical Assessment of Algorithmic Fidelity and Bias — S. Lee, T. Q. Peng, M. H. Goldberg, S. A. Rosenthal, J. E. Kotcher, E. W. Maibach, A. Leiserowitz, 2023
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Can+Large+Language+Models+Capture+Public+Opinion+about+Global+Warming%3F+An+Empirical+Assessment+of+Algorithmic+Fidelity+and+Bias
21. How Far are LLMs from Being Our Digital Twins? A Benchmark for Persona-Based Behavior Chain Simulation — Rui Li, Heming Xia, Xinfeng Yuan, Qingxiu Dong, Lei Sha, Wenjie Li, Zhifang Sui, 2025
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=How+Far+are+LLMs+from+Being+Our+Digital+Twins%3F+A+Benchmark+for+Persona-Based+Behavior+Chain+Simulation
22. Know Me, Respond to Me: Benchmarking LLMs for Dynamic User Profiling and Personalized Responses at Scale — Bowen Jiang et al., 2025
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Know+Me%2C+Respond+to+Me%3A+Benchmarking+LLMs+for+Dynamic+User+Profiling+and+Personalized+Responses+at+Scale
23. PersonaX: A Recommendation Agent Oriented User Modeling Framework for Long Behavior Sequence — Yunxiao Shi et al., 2025
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=PersonaX%3A+A+Recommendation+Agent+Oriented+User+Modeling+Framework+for+Long+Behavior+Sequence
24. Finetuning LLMs for Human Behavior Prediction in Social Science Experiments — Akaash Kolluri, Shengguang Wu, Joon Sung Park, Michael S. Bernstein, 2025
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Finetuning+LLMs+for+Human+Behavior+Prediction+in+Social+Science+Experiments
25. Tuning Language Models for Robust Prediction of Diverse User Behaviors — Fanjin Meng et al., 2025
https://scholar.google.com/scholar?q=Tuning+Language+Models+for+Robust+Prediction+of+Diverse+User+Behaviors
26. AI Post Transformers: RAGEN-2: Reasoning Collapse in Agentic RL — Hal Turing & Dr. Ada Shannon, 2026
https://podcast.do-not-panic.com/episodes/2026-06-07-ragen-2-reasoning-collapse-in-agentic-rl-3cfa0b.mp3
27. AI Post Transformers: Split Personality Training Reveals Latent Knowledge — Hal Turing & Dr. Ada Shannon, 2026
https://podcast.do-not-panic.com/episodes/2026-05-08-split-personality-training-reveals-laten-c84616.mp3
28. AI Post Transformers: End-to-End Context Compression at Scale — Hal Turing & Dr. Ada Shannon, 2026
https://podcast.do-not-panic.com/episodes/2026-06-10-end-to-end-context-compression-at-scale-278c70.mp3
Interactive Visualization: Simulating Individuals with Self-Reported LLM Agents
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AI Post TransformersBy mcgrof