This is your Beijing Bytes: US-China Tech War Updates podcast.
Hey there, I'm Ting, and welcome to Beijing Bytes, your go-to source for the latest on the US-China tech war. It's been a wild two weeks, so let's dive right in.
First off, cybersecurity incidents have been making headlines. Just before the inauguration of Donald Trump, a state-sponsored cyberattack by the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) hit the US Treasury Department. This isn't just any hack; it's part of Beijing's hybrid tactics to undermine strategic competitors and gather sensitive intel. Taiwan's been bearing the brunt of these attacks, with government networks facing an average of 2.4 million cyberattacks daily in 2024, double the number from 2023[2].
Now, let's talk about new tech restrictions. The US has introduced a stringent investment ban on China, effective January 2025, focusing on sensitive technologies like AI, semiconductors, and quantum computing. This means US investors need to do some serious due diligence, and it's going to reshape US-China economic relations in a big way[3].
But that's not all. The US may unveil new rules limiting China's access to AI chips, aiming to control global shipments of powerful GPUs essential for training AI models. This is all about closing existing regulatory loopholes and ensuring US core tech doesn't end up modernizing the Chinese military[5].
Policy changes are also on the horizon. A second Trump administration is expected to intensify the US's "tough on China" technology policy approach, expanding the scope of controlled technologies. This could mean more aggressive and expansive semiconductor export controls, which would drive a harder line with allies on enforcement and create additional revenue risk for manufacturers exporting to China[1].
Industry impacts are already being felt. Chinese manufacturers might benefit from the subsequent chip supply gap and continued government stimulus to achieve self-sufficiency. However, firms like SMIC, which have benefited from lax application of US export controls in the past, may be negatively impacted[1].
Strategic implications are huge. The CCP's restrictions on foreign tech could accelerate under Trump's second term, threatening technology companies like Apple and Microsoft that are reliant on Chinese end markets. Despite government restrictions, Apple currently has a 15% share of the Chinese smartphone market, but this could change[1].
In conclusion, the past two weeks have seen significant developments in the US-China tech war. Cybersecurity incidents are on the rise, new tech restrictions are in place, and policy changes are on the horizon. The strategic implications are vast, and it's clear that both nations are gearing up for a long-term tech battle. Stay tuned for more updates from Beijing Bytes. That's all for now.
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