The Cloudcast

Something's Gotta Give on AI Economics


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What happens when the biggest technology trend is built on economics that don't make any sense when viewed end-to-end? Eventually, some aspect has to change, but which one? 


SHOW: 968

SHOW TRANSCRIPT: The Cloudcast #968 Transcript

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SHOW NOTES:

  • Tokens are getting more expensive
  • Nvidia Earnings, Moats and China, Nvidia vs. the AI Labs
  • Oracle Assures Investors on AI Cloud Margins as It Struggles to Profit From Older Nvidia Chips


WHERE ARE THE BIGGEST AI RISKS?

  • Jensen Huang (NVIDIA CEO) is convinced that the future will be built on always having the most advanced GPUs and Frontier Models. 
  • Oracle is telling investors that they will significantly increase profit margins between now and 2028-30, although they have low margins now and they don’t make high margins on older chips
  • The economics of AI (reasoning models, high#s of AI tokens) is in contrast to the established SaaS business model.
  • Right now everything AI-associated has a high valuation, but these forces are working against each other. 
  • Which one is going to give first? 


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