Researchers in the University of Virginia’s Biocomplexity Institute’s Network Systems Science and Advanced Computing Division have been building scenario-based models for the last two decades, providing critical information to decision makers at the state and federal levels.

Since January 2020, they have focused their efforts on modeling COVID-19 and participated in a variety of independent and collaborative efforts to provide policymakers with up-to-date counterfactual analysis of COVID-19 spread. Their work with the COVID19 Scenario Modeling Hub (https://covid19scenariomodelinghub.org/) was highlighted in the May 5th edition of the CDC’s Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report (MMWR). https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/70/wr/mm7019e3.htm

On this special edition of COVID Chasers, we want to offer you some insight into this team and provide additional depth to our decades-long work in scenario-based modeling. You’ve met all of these researchers on past episodes, and we hope you enjoy this opportunity to dig a little deeper into this critical work.