Israel has launched unilateral overnight airstrikes in Iran, targeting key nuclear infrastructure and military sites as well as killing the head of the army and the leader of the IRGC. Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has vowed ‘extreme punishment’ against Israel. Tehran has launched up to 100 drones towards Israel in retaliation. Oil spikes to its highest level in almost 5 months as investors rush to safe-haven stocks amid the volatility. World leaders have reacted with UK Prime Minister Keir Starmer urging calm while Riyadh slams the move as a violation of sovereignty and international law.

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President Trump says the U.S.-China trade agreement is complete following this week’s framework deal in London. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick says the two sides could begin to benefit from the tariff truce almost immediately. Market reaction, however, has been tepid with European equities set to open lower while oil is up on renewed fears of escalation between Israel and Iran. We hear from French President Emmanuel Macron at Vivatech in Paris who says the deal between France’s Mistral AI and chip giant Nvidia marks a ‘game-changing’ moment for European technology.  

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U.S. and Chinese trade delegates complete a late-night framework agreement in London to continue the trade truce between the world’s largest two economies. U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick hailed the positive and constructive nature of the talks. UK Chancellor of the Exchequer, Rachel Reeves, is to set out $2tn in public spending as the government aims to stem haemorrhaging public opinion. The EU is reportedly ready to greenlight Italian lender Unicredit’s bid to buy up rival BPM. The move could place Brussels at loggerheads with Rome which has invoked its ‘golden powers’ rule that allows the government to impose conditions or exercise a veto over companies holding nationally strategic assets. French tech company Mistral AI unveils its first reasoning model which uses multiple languages.

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High-level U.S.-China trade talks enter a second day in London with reports stating that Washington may relax chip export controls if Beijing agrees to speed up rare earth exports. President Trump says ‘opening up’ China would bring global benefits. U.S. Marines are deployed in Los Angeles where protests against ICE deportations of illegal immigrants continue. California Democrats say the move violates federal law. OpenAI posts annual recurring revenue of $10bn thanks to growth in its consumer and business ChatGPT products.

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U.S. and Chinese officials meet in London in an attempt to cool trade tensions and potentially re-negotiate tariffs. The EU and China agree on fast-tracking rare earth exports with Beijing expecting reciprocal measures to promote trade in high-tech products with the bloc. President Trump deploys the National Guard in Los Angeles following three days of violence over federal deportation and illegal immigration laws.

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A spectacular falling-out between President Trump and Elon Musk causes Tesla shares to plummet but the pair are reportedly set to mend fences in a phone call later today. President Trump hails his relationship with Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping following a trade-focused call. Trump said he had accepted an offer to visit Xi “at a certain point”. Trump and German Chancellor Friedrich Merz showed a cordial relationship during talks at the Oval Office but the American leader remained cautious about the prospect of a near-term end to the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.   

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The CBO says that President Trump’s BBB could add almost $2.5tn to the U.S. deficit. Tesla CEO Elon Musk, who oversaw Doge cuts to government waste, has urged lawmakers to ‘kill the bill’. We hear from London Mayor Sadiq Khan who says he welcomes Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s efforts to strike a trade deal with President Trump but that trade ties with the EU should be deepened. And we are live at Berlin’s private markets Super Return conference where increasing opportunities around Europe are the focus of discussions.  

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Elon Musk slams President Trump’s budget bill describing it as ‘an abomination’ that will balloon the deficit. Doubled U.S. levies come into effect today but the UK escapes 50 per cent tariffs on steel. And we are live in Berlin at the Super Return forum where top names in private markets with around $50tn in assets are gathering.

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Washington is reportedly demanding countries put forward their best trade talk offers by tomorrow as the reciprocal tariffs deadline of 8 July draws nearer. The EU has responded saying it will push for tariff cuts with the U.S. in meetings scheduled this week. The bloc has repeated its threats of counter-measures should an agreement fail to be reached. We hear from German Steel Association head Gunnar Groebler who says American companies are also being affected by the levies. And in the UK, Prime Minister Keir Starmer has promised the largest sustained increase in defence spending since the end of the Cold War.  

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The EU says it is mulling counter-measures after President Trump’s steel tariffs doubles tariffs on steel imports. The U.S and China accuse each other of not respecting the trade agreement made in Geneva last month. In Poland Karol Nawrocki wins the presidential election to dent Prime Minister Donald Tusk’s centrist agenda. And in M&A news, French pharma giant Sanofi has moved to snap up U.S. firm Blueprint Medicines in an $9bbn all-cash deal.

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