<p>I’ve been tracking ADP versus fantasy performance for about 200 players per year since 2012. What is the probability that an undraftable QB or TE will finish in the top 12 or even top 6?</p>

I’ve been tracking ADP versus fantasy performance for about 200 players per year since 2012. What is the probability that an undraftable QB or TE will finish in the top 12 or even top 6?

Statistical Probability of Breakout QBs and TEs

<p>Accurate, contrarian fantasy football predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ Rudell has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+. E-mail him at fantasyfootballforwinners@gmail.com.</p>

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Fantasy Sports

Accurate, contrarian fantasy football predictions matter. They could mean the difference between missing the playoffs and winning your league. Since 2013, BJ Rudell has written 3,000+ fantasy columns and advised 10,000+ managers using home-grown data analytics and other empirical evidence. He's won several national fantasy tournaments, including one vs. 60,000+ people and another vs. 330,000+. E-mail him at fantasyfootballforwinners@gmail.com.

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Statistical Probability of Breakout QBs and TEs

Statistical Probability of Breakout QBs and TEs