HSRC Seminar: Dealing with Uncertainty - Systems Dynamics Approach for Modelling South Africa Response to COVID-19

20 August 2020

Online seminar

Overview: This seminar discusses a systems dynamic model developed for the COVID-19 infection in South Africa. The key purpose of developing the model was to assess the extent to which a systems dynamics model can forecast the COVID-19 infections in South Africa and be a useful tool in evaluating government interventions to manage the epidemics through ‘what if’ simulations.

PROGRAMME DIRECTOR

Prof Charles Hongoro: Strategic Lead, PaSS - Developmental Ethical and Capable State (DCES) HSRC

OPENING REMARKS

Prof Narnia Bohler-Muller: Divisional Executive, Developmental Ethical and Capable State (DCES) HSRC

SETTING THE SCENE

Dr Martin Kaggwa: Executive Director, Sam Tambani Research Institute (SATRI)

MODEL OF SOUTH AFRICA’S RESPONSE TO COVID-19

Dr Shingirirai Savious Mutanga: Senior Research Specialist, PaSS - Developmental Ethical and Capable State (DCES) HSRC

RESPONDENT

Prof Charles Wambebe: President of International Biomedical Research for Africa

DISCUSSION

Dr Martin Kaggwa, Dr Shingi Mutanga, Dr Mercy Ngungu, Ms Fhulufhelo Tshililo

Dr Mercy Ngungu: Data Manager, Developmental, Capable & Ethical State (DCES) HSRC

Ms Fhulufhelo Tshililo: PhD Intern, PaSS - Developmental Ethical and Capable State (DCES) HSRC

CLOSING REMARKS

Dr Emmanuel Sekyere, Ag. Research Director, PaSS - Developmental Ethical and Capable State (DCES) HSRC

For more information and presentations: http://www.hsrc.ac.za/en/events/seminars/uncertainty-modelling-covid