The Process

Talkin' Politics June 26, 2023 | Abortion law suits in Missouri as the AG stalls; McCarthy wants to rewrite history; Immigration 8-1 SCOTUS decision; Russia heats up and how it could impact 2024


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True or False

Mo AG Andre Bailey is trying to win the game on one play and in the process has shown the GOPs desperation to avoid abortion in 2024

Why? Well, we got ourselves a primary that starts with P and that is already P and that stands for Pool! 

As usual, the MO independent is all over this, reporting is detailed and worth reading in full:

https://missouriindependent.com/2023/06/23/missouri-supreme-court-sets-hearing-date-for-abortion-rights-petition-case/

https://missouriindependent.com/2023/06/22/aclu-calls-shenanigans-on-missouri-ags-refusal-to-follow-court-order-on-abortion-petition/

https://twitter.com/rudikellermi/status/1672285185226752131?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA

– Fits into the broader picture which is that the GOP has largely come to terms with the polling on abortion - Biden campmeanwhile has fashioned a spear 

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jun/23/joe-biden-abortion-reproductive-rights-roe-2024-campaign

Polling shows issue is WAY underwater for GOP

⅓ of gop voters disagree with Dobbs in NBC poll

60%+ of all polling shows disagreement 

Gallup article on abortion polling

https://news.gallup.com/poll/507527/abortion-remains-potent-issue-pro-choice-voters.aspx

Bailey uses his office to make the barrier to access as high as possible on the ballot initiative which, folks should recall, was a central theme for the Missouri, Ohio, and other GOP state houses this last cycle. Missouri republicans ultimately did not pass anything for this cycle, timing wise I don’t think they COULD pass anything in 2024 that would impact that particular measure since the laws are typically signed in mid-August any way. 

Yeah…No

New McCarthyism - erased from existence 

https://twitter.com/mkraju/status/1672307905863856128?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA

Buy or Sell

SCOTUS immigration ruling and 2024

NPR summary: https://www.npr.org/2023/06/23/1182015382/supreme-court-ruling-immigration

The case concerned the Biden administration's attempt to set guidelines for whom immigration authorities can target for arrest and deportation. Texas and Louisiana sued to block the guidelines, arguing that they were preventing immigration authorities from doing their jobs. The Supreme Court held by a vote of 8-1 that the states lacked standing to challenge the guidelines in the first place.Writing for the majority, Justice Brett Kavanaugh described the legal challenge before the court as "an extraordinarily unusual lawsuit."

GOP voters in every state think immigration is a major issue 

Gallup 2022: https://news.gallup.com/poll/1660/immigration.aspx#:~:text=The%202022%20results%20indicate%20that,than%20the%20%22increased%22%20one.

https://www.cnn.com/2023/06/23/politics/biden-supreme-court-immigration-republican-lawsuit

In MO Parson proposed an immigration “strike force” in 2022 

If you go to Josh Hawley’s website - which I’m not necessarily recommending - he has 10 separate news items on him doing something from introducing legislation to just basically talking about immigration, 10 times in the last 2 years of media coverage posted there

Big one

Russia… at least in terms of 2024 Politics

  1. Impacts on smaller local races? 
  2. Congress? 
  3. President?

So, Wagner is like the Golden Company - it’s a private force but he’s a Russian General - and he runs this massive force whose makeup includes convicts - and they think that OTHER generals basically sold them out and left them to die on purpose, so they turned around and went into Russia. Moscow set up defensive positions immediately. Within 24 hours Lukashenko, another Russian general/oligarch is negotiating on behalf of the Putin regime, with Prigozhin the Wagner leader. The Wagner group turned around, and left the southern command city. And now we all get to speculate about the deals or threats or assurances that have left Putin in power and the Wagner group headed back. 

Richard Angle - NBC chief international correspondent is a super smart fella

Good thread:

https://twitter.com/gerashchenko_en/status/1672719234739126273?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA

NBC reporting 

https://www.kmbc.com/article/russian-mercenary-leaders-exile-ends-revolt/44331322

ABC 

https://abcnews.go.com/International/live-updates/russia-ukraine/us-official-says-its-a-mystery-why-prigozhin-stopped-march-to-moscow-100358488?id=100351805

Fox story late Sat night 

https://trib.al/7gwE5iF

Crazy video: https://twitter.com/igorsushko/status/1672422900635435009?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA

Shout out Brandon Boyd 

https://twitter.com/brandoninstl/status/1672426480075255809?s=46&t=mukZUfs5M_R3E9tAHIu-GA

Richard Angle - NBC chief international correspondent is a super smart fella


Host: Adam Sommer 

Find Adam on tik-tok  (maybe) and bluesky as "midmapdadenergy" - follow The Process on instagram. 

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The ProcessBy Adam Sommer