Senate Pickup Watch

Texas Deadlock and Cooper Lead Put Senate Map in Motion — May 20, 2026


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James Talarico is polling even with John Cornyn and Ken Paxton in Texas, while Roy Cooper posts an 11-point North Carolina lead and Democrats reserve modest New Hampshire insurance money — a map that is widening, but still demanding proof beyond early polls.

In this episode
  1. New Texas poll shows deadlocked Senate race as Republicans face 2026 headwinds heading into November election | News | ktbs.com — KTBS

    # New Texas poll shows deadlocked Senate race as Republicans face 2026 headwinds heading into November election | News | ktbs.com

Published: 2026-05-19T00:00:00
Source: ktbs.com (ktbs.com)
Language: en
## Story
New Texas poll shows deadlocked Senate race as Republicans face 2026 headwinds heading into November election | News | ktbs.com
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  • Step Back — When a state like Texas still leans Republican, what actually has to go wrong for the GOP — an unpopular nominee, a bruising primary, national headwinds, turnout shifts — before Democrats can realistically call it a Senate pickup instead of a mirage?Background sources
    • Could this finally be the year for Texas Democrats? | On Point with Meghna Chakrabarti — On Point with Meghna Chakrabarti
    • Cornyn Staying Alive is Enough to Keep Texas Senate as Likely Republican - Sabato's Crystal Ball — Kyle Kondik and J. Miles Coleman
    • Messy Texas Senate Primaries Careen to an End — Or Probable Overtime for GOP | Cook Political Report — Jessica Taylor
    • Talarico leads both Cornyn, Paxton in new Texas Senate polls — Gabby Birenbaum, Kayla Guo
    • Why Texas could determine which party controls the Senate in 2027 | Brookings — Elaine Kamarck
    • Texas Primary 2026 Analysis: GOP Feud Intensifies, Democrats Eye Senate Takeover - Bloomberg — Joe Lovinger
    • Analysis: Talarico just climbed a big hill in Texas. Now he faces a mountain | CNN Politics — Ronald Brownstein
  • GOP Faces “Nightmare Scenario” as Trump Endorses Paxton: “Almost Certain to Make Republicans’ Midterm Campaign Harder” - DSCC — DSCC

    # GOP Faces “Nightmare Scenario” as Trump Endorses Paxton: “Almost Certain to Make Republicans’ Midterm Campaign Harder” - DSCC

  • Published: 2026-05-20T20:55:37+00:00
    Source: dscc.org (dscc.org)
    Language: en
    ## Story
    GOP Faces “Nightmare Scenario” as Trump Endorses Paxton: “Almost Certain to Make Republicans’ Midterm Campaign Harder” - DSCC
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  • Polls show Cooper with strong lead over Whatley for NC Senate seat — The Hill

    Polls show Cooper with strong lead over Whatley for NC Senate seat

  • ## Just In
    Tillis urges GOP colleagues to hold budget bill over White House ballroom funding
    Senate| 29 minutes ago
    Polls show Cooper with strong lead over Whatley for NC Senate seat
    State Watch| 34 minutes ago
    Cornyn, Paxton in dead heat with Talarico as early voting begins for Texas Senate GOP runoff: Poll
    Campaign| 1…

  • For Democrats, Is NH Senate Race a Battleground, or an Insurance Policy? - NH Journal — NH Journal

    # For Democrats, Is NH Senate Race a Battleground, or an Insurance Policy? - NH Journal

  • Author: Michael Graham
    Published: 2026-05-20T02:39:49+00:00
    Source: nhjournal.com (nhjournal.com)
    Language: en
    ## Story
    For Democrats, Is NH Senate Race a Battleground, or an Insurance Policy? - NH Journal
    U.S. Rep. Chris Pappas campaigning at his field office in Manchester on May 16, 2026.
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