The Process

The 2024 Election Prediction Special


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72 million early votes: https://www.reuters.com/world/us-election-2024-live-trump-harris-north-carolina-2024-11-02/

State Governor Races

Deleware - d

North Carolina - d

Washington - d

New Hampshire - d

Indiana - r

Missouri - r

Montana - r

North Dakota - r

Vermont - r

Utah - r

West Virginia  - r

Missouri Governor

Quade v. Kehoe

https://www.cookpolitical.com/governor/race/306346#race-id-gov

House

https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/final-house-ratings-majority-still-knifes-edge

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/house-race-ratings

Colorado - Sean any insite there? 

Senate

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate-race-ratings

Missouri - Kunce and Hawley had a debate on Halloween, Kunce held his own for sure, unlikely it mattered considering it was on Halloween and well into early voting

POTUS

https://www.cookpolitical.com/ratings/presidential-race-ratings

 270: https://www.270towin.com/2024-presidential-election-polls/national

FiveThirtyEight; https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/national/

Silver: 

https://www.natesilver.net/p/nate-silver-2024-president-election-polls-model

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Adam Sommer @Adam_Sommer85  (Twitter) @adam_sommer85 (Threads)

Rachel Parker @msraitchetp   (Threads) 

Sean Diller  (no social)

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“Change The Conversation”

Outro Song: “The World Is On Fire” by American Aquarium 

http://www.americanaquarium.com/

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The ProcessBy Adam Sommer