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This is the deep dive into the single biggest paradox in the global economy right now: the tension between AI exuberance and the reality of stock market downside. We analyze the colossal scale of the structural shift, driven by a truly historic $2.1 trillion in capital investment committed by mega cap tech firms, the "AI scalers" like Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Nvidia, through 2027. While Vanguard projects this investment could eventually boost US real GDP growth to a sustained 3%, the financial projections for the companies underwriting this future forecast surprisingly muted 5- to 10-year annualized returns of only around 4% to 5%.
Each episode unpacks this contradictory reality, exploring the "model wars"—from OpenAI's GPT-5.2 demonstrating that AI can perform at or above the human expert level in nearly 71% of professional occupations to Google's deployment of Gemini-powered agentic tools like Ads Advisor and Analytics Advisor. Crucially, we investigate the inherent historic risk of creative destruction, posing the central investment question: Are the true long-term winners the companies making the largest initial capital expenditure, or the new, currently unknown entrants who efficiently consume the infrastructure being built today?
Finally, we track the collision course of regulatory chaos, examining the Trump administration's Executive Order seeking to establish a "minimally burdensome national policy framework" to sustain U.S. global AI dominance, and the escalating legal friction, such as The New York Times' landmark copyright lawsuit against Perplexity AI. We synthesize how AI is moving faster than finance, politics, and the law.
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If you enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to subscribe and leave a review on your favorite podcast platform.
By Daniel LozovskyThis is the deep dive into the single biggest paradox in the global economy right now: the tension between AI exuberance and the reality of stock market downside. We analyze the colossal scale of the structural shift, driven by a truly historic $2.1 trillion in capital investment committed by mega cap tech firms, the "AI scalers" like Amazon, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Nvidia, through 2027. While Vanguard projects this investment could eventually boost US real GDP growth to a sustained 3%, the financial projections for the companies underwriting this future forecast surprisingly muted 5- to 10-year annualized returns of only around 4% to 5%.
Each episode unpacks this contradictory reality, exploring the "model wars"—from OpenAI's GPT-5.2 demonstrating that AI can perform at or above the human expert level in nearly 71% of professional occupations to Google's deployment of Gemini-powered agentic tools like Ads Advisor and Analytics Advisor. Crucially, we investigate the inherent historic risk of creative destruction, posing the central investment question: Are the true long-term winners the companies making the largest initial capital expenditure, or the new, currently unknown entrants who efficiently consume the infrastructure being built today?
Finally, we track the collision course of regulatory chaos, examining the Trump administration's Executive Order seeking to establish a "minimally burdensome national policy framework" to sustain U.S. global AI dominance, and the escalating legal friction, such as The New York Times' landmark copyright lawsuit against Perplexity AI. We synthesize how AI is moving faster than finance, politics, and the law.
Thank you for tuning in!
If you enjoyed this episode, don’t forget to subscribe and leave a review on your favorite podcast platform.