The Care for My Wealth Show

Is the AI train starting to produce real productivity and ROI?

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S&P 500 EQUAL WEIGHT - down 7 weeks in a row. TIme for a bounce?

GROWTH - Atlanta Fed dropped Q3 GDP estimate from 5% to 3.7%

S&P 500 Q 4 Set up - Strong Q2, positive Q3, has ended up positiove for Q4 for every other instance in histiry wiht the same set up.

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RATES - companies handling higher rates really well!

Growth - growing!

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Bad Breadth...but where is it isolated?

Stock and rates correlation. What changed?

US Dollar...if it is going to correct...this is the spot.

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5%...isn't something supposed to break!  Not when you look at the cost of money though the correct lens.

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MOVE Index Moved hard! Last time coincided with stock market bottoms...or close to it.

BREADTH - sucks in the short term view. But zoom out and look at price! New highs or near new highs.

FLASH PMIs - US Business is BOOMING!

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Metals - Gold & Silver don't like accelerating CPI data or risng 2YR rates

Sentiment - AAII data says lots of investors are bearish...similar to what we saw in spring 2025. Right before a very powerful rally

Seasonality - OCT NOV are best 2 months in mid-term years going back to 1950.

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YIELD CURVE - hammered down. 

OIL - 10YR / OIL correlation highest since 1990. Iran dependent more than Fed.

SEMICONDUCTORS - -13% discount to the S&P!

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AI spending is just beginning

Transports looking sickly with $650+ diesel.

Copper - rise continues as global growth is still...growing

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