THE NEW WORK PLAYBOOK

The Confidence Trap

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What Happens When We Stop Questioning Ourselves

In this episode:

  • Why we naturally associate confidence with competence, and how the attention economy amplifies this.
  • My downhill mountain biking lesson in overconfidence.
  • The Dunning-Kruger effect, and why expertise can be the moment overconfidence catches us.
  • Why leaders are often overconfident in their ability to evaluate other people.
  • Why System 1 and System 2 thinking matters in high-stakes decisions like hiring.
  • Confident humility and the scientist's mindset as countermeasures to overconfidence.
  • Why experts driven by personal excellence should think twice before taking leadership roles.

    • Free download:

    The Leader's Bias Cheat Sheet](https://thenewworkplaybook.com/explore/the-leaders-bias-cheat-sheet/))

    Resources mentioned:

    Daniel Kahneman, Thinking, Fast and Slow (2011)
    Adam Grant, Think Again: The Power of Knowing What You Don't Know (2021)

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    THE NEW WORK PLAYBOOKBy Annett Burger