The Hold Report

The Ideal Setup


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Fri, Jan 16, 2026

"The setup is ideal."

— Ted Pick, CEO of Morgan Stanley

The gap between US capital markets and civic stability widened significantly on Thursday. Wall Street’s leading investment banks reported double-digit profit growth, driven by a surge in deal-making and trading revenue. Simultaneously, Donald Trump threatened to deploy active-duty military forces to Minnesota.

Morgan Stanley’s CEO describes the current landscape as ideal because it maximizes fee generation through disruption. But there is a breaking point. With Trump trading the debt of regulated companies, Canada pivoting to Beijing, the military being threatened for domestic deployment, and the Earth breaking a sweat, the ideal setup for trading is looking increasingly like a stress test for the system itself.

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