The Hot Hand Theory Podcast

The Knicks Shouldn't Trade For Giannis (Here's Why)


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Geoff and XJ tackle the biggest story in the NBA—Giannis Antetokounmpo potentially forcing his way to the New York Knicks—and deliver a contrarian take that will challenge everything Knicks fans believe about this trade. While the timeline is exploding with Giannis-to-New York hype, the duo breaks down why the fit is more problematic than anyone is discussing, and why the trade package being floated could even hurt the Knicks' championship ceiling.


XJ and Geoff dive into the data to expose some uncomfortable truths: Giannis Antetokounmpo has never played power forward without a stretch five since Brook Lopez learned to shoot in 2019. He's not the interactive roll man that people imagine—he's a creation-driven initiating wing who runs pick-and-rolls as the screener at just 6-8% frequency (top bigs are at 25-30%). He wants the ball in his hands, space around him, and a stretch five to keep the paint clear. This is the exact opposite of what the Knicks would be offering if they trade Karl-Anthony Towns for him and include OG Anunoby or Mikal Bridges in the deal.


We explore why the Damian Lillard experiment in Milwaukee failed despite Dame coming off one of the best offensive seasons in a decade, why trading Towns AND OG/Mikal is "brute forcing" a championship by hoping talent overcomes suboptimal fit, and why the modern NBA punishes this approach when teams like OKC have elite talent AND perfect synergy. Plus: the five teams (Raptors, Heat, Hawks, Rockets, Spurs) that would be better fits for Giannis and have the assets to get him.


The duo acknowledges Giannis is a top-3 player having a career year (over 20 points better per 100 with him on court), and breaks down the ONE trade scenario where they'd do it: Towns + filler for Giannis (keeping OG and Bridges). But if the package includes Towns + OG or Towns + Mikal, they make the case that the Knicks' ceiling doesn't actually improve—and might get worse.


We cover:

🔹 How Giannis has never played PF without a stretch 5: Seven years of Brook Lopez/Bobby Portis/Myles Turner

🔹 The pick-and-roll data: Giannis is NOT the roll man people think

🔹 Why the Dame-Giannis experiment failed: Overlapping creation needs, not enough space

🔹 Karl-Anthony Towns' shooting slump is temporary: Why the Knicks' current ceiling is higher than people think

🔹 The trade package problem: Towns + OG/Mikal is too much for a player who won't fit perfectly

🔹 Five better Giannis destinations: Raptors (Quickley, Barnes, spacing), Heat (Bam + Spolstra), Hawks, Rockets, Spurs

🔹 The trade that makes sense: Towns + filler (keeping OG and Bridges creates a title favorite)

🔹 Modern NBA fit vs talent: Why synergy matters more than ever against teams like OKC


💬 Let us know in the comments: How strongly do you feel that the Knicks should trade for Giannis? And what's the MAX package you'd give up? Would you trade Towns + OG, or is that too much?


If you value strategic analysis over hot takes and want NBA breakdown that challenges consensus with data and film study, subscribe and catch every episode.


#NewYorkKnicks #Knicks #GiannisAntetokounmpo #Giannis #KarlAnthonyTowns #JalenBrunson #HotHandTheory #NBAPodcast #NBAAnalysis #KnicksBasketball #NBATrades #NBATradeRumors #MilwaukeeBucks #Bucks #OGAnanοbi #MikalBridges #NBASeason #NBA #GiannisToKnicks #NBATradeDeadline #EasternConference

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The Hot Hand Theory PodcastBy Hot Hand Theory

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