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The Turkish Lira currently stands as the worst performing currency against the USD for the second year straight. Just this last month it has lost almost 40% of its value and the USDTRY seems to hit all time highs day-in-day-out. Although Turkey "only" faces a 20% inflation rate, the Central Bank has been cutting interest rates against general conventional wisdom. It is important to note that this meltdown in the Lira is not necessarily caused by a broad based USD Emerging Market matter, it is actually faulted by Turkey´s own idiosyncratic characteristics. This problem sets to possibly cause a Contagion (Spillover) effect that could spread not only to the EU, but the rest of the world.
Credit for this episode: The excellent Weston Nakamura from Real Vision Finance!
By Nuno GomesThe Turkish Lira currently stands as the worst performing currency against the USD for the second year straight. Just this last month it has lost almost 40% of its value and the USDTRY seems to hit all time highs day-in-day-out. Although Turkey "only" faces a 20% inflation rate, the Central Bank has been cutting interest rates against general conventional wisdom. It is important to note that this meltdown in the Lira is not necessarily caused by a broad based USD Emerging Market matter, it is actually faulted by Turkey´s own idiosyncratic characteristics. This problem sets to possibly cause a Contagion (Spillover) effect that could spread not only to the EU, but the rest of the world.
Credit for this episode: The excellent Weston Nakamura from Real Vision Finance!