Discover the remarkable story of Vera Atkins, a British intelligence officer who played a pivotal role in WWII by applying probabilistic thinking to her high-stakes decisions. As the second in command of the French unit of the Special Operations Executive (SOE), Atkins was responsible for recruiting and deploying spies into Nazi-occupied France. Her strategic approach to evaluating unreliable information and balancing various factors like language skills, confidence, and problem-solving abilities made a significant impact on the Allied sabotage efforts.

Join us for an insightful discussion on how probabilistic thinking not only shaped historical events but continues to be a vital tool in navigating uncertainty and improving decision accuracy.

🕰️ Video Chapters

00:00 - Who was Vera Atkins? 👩‍💼

00:40 - Probabilistic thinking is popular in the spy world 🕵️‍♂️

00:55 - Factors involved in her decision making 🤔

01:38 - Three Key Roles 🎯

04:10 - Heightened optimism in entrepreneurship 🌟

06:10 - Advantages of Probabilistic Thinking 📈

📖 Sources

- Probabilistic Thinking: https://medium.com/mental-models-product/mental-models-product-4-probabilistic-thinking-4a470ee351e9

- Vera Atkins: https://www.theguardian.com/news/2000/jul/06/guardianobituaries.ianjack

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