Neo Strategic Initiative

The Oil Tightrope: India’s Billion Dollar Balancing Act Between Moscow and Washington


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The world's largest energy trade just hit a wall. Following a new wave of US sanctions targeting key Russian suppliers, Indian refiners were forced to slash their discounted oil purchases, sending shockwaves through the market. This episode dives into the immediate crash and Moscow’s extraordinary promise to bounce back. We expose the dangerous workarounds now essential for this trade: from the operational menace of Russia's uninsured 'Shadow Fleet' to the failure of the rupee-rouble payment system and the growing structural reliance on the Chinese Yuan. We also reveal the looming EU ban that threatens to cost India's economy a massive $19 billion in lost export revenue. The era of easy oil arbitrage is over—this is the new, high-risk reality of the Indo-Russian tightrope walk.

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Neo Strategic InitiativeBy Momin Khan