Financial Review

The Other Shoe


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Stocks climb, discounting weak earnings. Still waiting on the Fed, and more Panama Papers names. The heat builds. You deserve a break. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 04-19-2016 DOW + 49 = 18,053 SPX + 6 = 2100 NAS – 19 = 4940 10 Y + .01 = 1.78% OIL + 1.30 = 41.08 GOLD + 17.80 = 1251.30   The Dow Industrial Average closed above 18,000 yesterday for the first time since last July and the rally continued today, although the Dow lost about half its early gains. The S&P 500 topped the psychologically key 2,100 level this morning. We’re not far from the record highs of last May; a couple of strong days and we’re there. China looks stable, at least today. The Eurozone is preparing for more stimulus from the ECB in its battle against deflation. Oil prices are rising. Analysts are predicting earnings for the first quarter will decline anywhere from 8% to 10% and it appears that weak first quarter corporate earnings are almost fully discounted. Share prices are going up. This is when you should get nervous.   After the close Monday, IBM posted results that beat on both the top and bottom line. However, they did not raise full-year guidance. Netflix also disappointed with lower-than-expected subscriber growth for the second quarter. IBM was down 5% today, and Netflix lost almost 13%, which was a major drag on the Nasdaq.   Early morning reports include Goldman Sachs posting first-quarter earnings dropped 60 percent from a year ago, the ...
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Financial ReviewBy Sinclair Noe