New Horizons Investment

The Power-Law Investing


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This episode explores the power law in investing, a principle stating that a tiny fraction of "outlier" successes generates the vast majority of market wealth. Unlike a standard bell curve where results cluster around an average, this model suggests that most stocks are irrelevant to long-term gains while a few provide asymmetric upside. To capitalize on this, the text recommends a 6% rule for position sizing, which balances the need for significant "skin in the game" with the necessity of capital preservation.


The podcast discusses examples of Michael Burry’s famous trades illustrate how professional investors profit by tolerating frequent small losses in exchange for rare, massive payouts.


The episode emphasizes that disciplined patience and managing the magnitude of wins are more important than being right most of the time. The

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New Horizons InvestmentBy Odd Bird