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1) 51.4% to 48.6% win in Run Off by 95K votes. When they had the General back in November Warnock bested Walker by 49.4 - 48.5 1A) Warnock gained 2 points while Walker gained only .1%. The marginal Republican base stayed home while Warnock voters turned out. 1B Democrats outpaced Republicans by 200K votes in pre-election day voting. 1C Polling was pretty accurate on this race. Insider Advantage nailed it exactly. 2) Why did he win: Metro Atlanta DeKalb County 87-13 Clayton County 89-11 Fulton county 77-23 Gwinnett County 62-38 Cobb County 60-40 3) Analysis: Walker was a first time candidate with non transparent baggage that turned off some conservative voters. The negative Trump effect - we'll explain Walker campaigned thinking he could win a larger % of black vote. A HUGE miscalculation. Residency in the state? Outspent 3 to 1 by Democrats Marginal Republicans did not vote for Walker and some shifted their vote to Warnock. Now they will suffer the consequences. Did race play a role in lower than expected rural turn out? 4) Media influence - Fox news did not even show Warnock victory speech instead running a Gutfeld show. In Other news: 5) NDAA moves closer to reality - The National Defense Authorization Act. We'll discuss what is in it and what is not. 6) 1-6 committee sends over a criminal referral to the DOJ. 6A) Trump company found guilty of tax fraud in NY court. 7) Rep. Andy Biggs to challenge Kevin McCarthy for Speaker after losing by 85% to 15% in the first vote. Why are Republicans the party of stupid? 8) Federal Reserve continues its balance sheet run off reducing it by $95B per month. The U.S. total Debt to GDP ratio is at 420%. Not good.
1) 51.4% to 48.6% win in Run Off by 95K votes. When they had the General back in November Warnock bested Walker by 49.4 - 48.5 1A) Warnock gained 2 points while Walker gained only .1%. The marginal Republican base stayed home while Warnock voters turned out. 1B Democrats outpaced Republicans by 200K votes in pre-election day voting. 1C Polling was pretty accurate on this race. Insider Advantage nailed it exactly. 2) Why did he win: Metro Atlanta DeKalb County 87-13 Clayton County 89-11 Fulton county 77-23 Gwinnett County 62-38 Cobb County 60-40 3) Analysis: Walker was a first time candidate with non transparent baggage that turned off some conservative voters. The negative Trump effect - we'll explain Walker campaigned thinking he could win a larger % of black vote. A HUGE miscalculation. Residency in the state? Outspent 3 to 1 by Democrats Marginal Republicans did not vote for Walker and some shifted their vote to Warnock. Now they will suffer the consequences. Did race play a role in lower than expected rural turn out? 4) Media influence - Fox news did not even show Warnock victory speech instead running a Gutfeld show. In Other news: 5) NDAA moves closer to reality - The National Defense Authorization Act. We'll discuss what is in it and what is not. 6) 1-6 committee sends over a criminal referral to the DOJ. 6A) Trump company found guilty of tax fraud in NY court. 7) Rep. Andy Biggs to challenge Kevin McCarthy for Speaker after losing by 85% to 15% in the first vote. Why are Republicans the party of stupid? 8) Federal Reserve continues its balance sheet run off reducing it by $95B per month. The U.S. total Debt to GDP ratio is at 420%. Not good.