Predictably Irrational: Our Effort to Understand Human Behavior

The Trap of the "Future Self"


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In this episode, hosts Michael, Emil, and Sota dive into why we consistently make decisions we know are bad for us, focusing specifically on the hot-cold empathy gap. They explore the psychological struggle of procrastination, explaining how our "cold" logical state fails to predict how our "hot" emotional state will behave under the pressure of a deadline. By comparing Dan Ariely’s research on student deadlines with their own local survey data, the hosts reveal that we are "predictably irrational" when it comes to trusting our future selves. The episode concludes with practical advice on moving away from unreliable willpower toward building smarter systems.

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Predictably Irrational: Our Effort to Understand Human BehaviorBy Ross Miller