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00:00 Introduction
01:57 M6 Forecasting Competition - forecasting Walmart sales
03:25 Forecasting wizard, Gee Thompson
05:20 Gee's approach to the Walmart forecasting competition
08:00 Why Gee goes against the machine learning trend
09:35 Proving there's a place for traditional statistical models and human intelligence
12:43 Manual multipliers for seasonality
14:30 Explaining the Innovation State Space Model - is it a kind of Holt Winters method?
22:05 Probabilistic forecasting is here to stay
25:30 How to integrate ML into statistical forecasting
Support the show
To sign up for regular updates and the latest research, events, articles, podcasts and more from the Institute of Business Forecasting & Training, visit www.ibf.org
5
88 ratings
00:00 Introduction
01:57 M6 Forecasting Competition - forecasting Walmart sales
03:25 Forecasting wizard, Gee Thompson
05:20 Gee's approach to the Walmart forecasting competition
08:00 Why Gee goes against the machine learning trend
09:35 Proving there's a place for traditional statistical models and human intelligence
12:43 Manual multipliers for seasonality
14:30 Explaining the Innovation State Space Model - is it a kind of Holt Winters method?
22:05 Probabilistic forecasting is here to stay
25:30 How to integrate ML into statistical forecasting
Support the show
To sign up for regular updates and the latest research, events, articles, podcasts and more from the Institute of Business Forecasting & Training, visit www.ibf.org
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