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MLB
TOR F5 -112

MLB Betting Picks & Analysis (Thu, July 23) | Toronto 1st 5 Play + Braves Team Total Lean
Toad recaps a 2-0 day on the prior show (Mets-Brewers under and Phoenix WNBA win) and notes the WNBA is heading into the All-Star break, leaving a five-game MLB slate for Thursday, July 23. He breaks down Padres-Braves (Griffin Canning vs Chris Sale) and prefers Braves team total over 4.5 as a lean rather than laying a big price, discusses Twins-Guardians (Taj Bradley vs Gavin Williams) with a slight lean to Cleveland and first-five under considerations, then gives his only official play: Blue Jays 1st 5 moneyline vs Rays, citing Toronto’s sweep-avoidance spot, Tampa’s road issues, Ian Seymour’s form and history vs Toronto, and Shane Bieber’s encouraging last start while avoiding Toronto’s taxed bullpen. He also reviews Diamondbacks-Cardinals and Royals-Tigers without official plays and briefly discusses NL Cy Young odds.

00:00 Cold Open Verse
01:28 Show Intro and Recap
03:18 Today’s Slate Setup
03:50 Padres Braves Breakdown
05:25 Sale vs Canning Angles
09:10 Totals and Team Total Talk
11:35 Twins Guardians Preview
13:03 Pitching Duel and Market Read
17:59 Pick Blue Jays First Five
21:21 Seymour Fade and Bieber Buy
26:00 Toronto First Five Fade
27:21 Arizona St Louis Spot
29:44 Pfaadt Turnaround Case
32:02 McGreevy Breakdown
33:39 Lean Arizona or Under
35:16 Royals Tigers Situational
37:37 Dobnak vs Melton Edge
41:15 Team Total Under Idea
42:25 Wrap Picks and WNBA
44:08 Plugs and Betting Process
46:19 Cy Young Odds Talk
48:02 Final Sign Off

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