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NBA
NYK ML -110

MLB
SD/COL Over 11 -108

MLB Picks & Playoff Bets: Padres/Rockies Over 11, Knicks ML + Full Slate Breakdown

Toad opens venting about a brutal betting slump, then recaps going 1-1-1 the prior day (Penguins loss, Mariners push/win amid a bizarre Logan Gilbert “jersey catch” ruled a single, and a Pistons win). He breaks down the day’s MLB card with situational and bullpen/market notes (Braves-Nationals, Brewers-Tigers with Skubal, Phillies-Cubs sweep/look-ahead angles, White Sox-Diamondbacks, Dodgers-Giants, Yankees-Red Sox with Cam Schlittler vs prospect Peyton Toley, Twins-Mets with Joe Ryan vs debuting Christian Scott, and Pirates-Rangers with deGrom). His only MLB bet is Padres-Rockies Over 11 at Coors (fading Waldron/Feltner and fly-ball risk). He previews NHL playoff games and leans to Colorado over LA, then gives one NBA play: Knicks moneyline in a tied series vs Atlanta, discussing regression factors and market support.

00:00 Slump Spiral Cold Open
01:33 Show Intro and Recap
02:28 Mariners Rule Weirdness
04:57 Today’s Card Setup
05:28 Braves Nationals Breakdown
11:37 Brewers Tigers Pitching Duel
16:47 Phillies Cubs Sweep Spot
23:53 Coors Field Over Pick
29:39 Long Ball Larry Drop
33:07 Mexico City Lookahead
34:26 Bullpen Mistrust Spot
35:21 Offense Rising Angle
36:03 Martin vs Soroka Breakdown
37:58 First Five Under Lean
40:09 Dodgers Giants Sweep Setup
41:46 Glasnow vs Webb Matchup
43:55 Dodgers Side and Total
45:50 Yankees Red Sox Meltdown
47:31 Schmidt vs Toley Preview
53:08 Fenway Park Hitting Factors
56:27 Mets Momentum After Streak
58:30 Twins Mets Pitching Edge
01:04:07 Pirates Rangers Chandler deGrom
01:07:26 deGrom vs Pirates Total
01:08:55 Market Moneyline Debate
01:10:07 Quick Card Recap Break
01:11:30 Bruins Sabres Game 3
01:13:49 Canes Sens Zigzag Spot
01:18:41 Avs Kings Road Favorite
01:22:27 Knicks Hawks Best Bet
01:27:44 Cavs Raptors Stay Away
01:31:38 Nuggets Wolves Lean Only
01:34:39 Wrap Up Plays Promo
01:35:31 Draft Talk Win Totals
01:37:29 Shows Patreon WNBA Rant
01:41:17 Final Sign Off

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