The global cannabis industry is in a rare moment of optimism, driven by a major U.S. policy shift and fast‑moving corporate activity over the past 48 hours.
The key catalyst is President Trump’s December 18 executive order directing the Attorney General to move marijuana from Schedule I to Schedule III under the Controlled Substances Act, launching a formal rescheduling process that would effectively end the punitive 280E tax treatment for state‑legal cannabis businesses once in force.[4][8][10] Legal analysts describe this as the most significant federal move since the CSA was enacted, signaling growing federal acceptance of regulated cannabis and laying the groundwork for lower effective tax rates, cleaner balance sheets, and renewed access to capital.[3][4]
Investor response has been immediate. Cannabis equities gained roughly 15 percent in the week around the announcement and about 85 percent over the preceding month as expectations for rescheduling built, with multi‑state operators and ancillary firms leading the rally.[4] Trading screens now highlight Tilray Brands, Canopy Growth, and Aurora Cannabis as the most actively traded cannabis names, underscoring a sharp rebound in sector interest after years of depressed valuations.[5][9]
On the ground, operators are repositioning. The industry is currently a roughly 32 billion dollar U.S. market supporting more than 425,000 jobs, yet only about 27 percent of companies are profitable under 280E constraints.[4] Many are now planning restructurings to simplify entity structures designed solely to mitigate 280E, sell distressed assets, and pursue opportunistic acquisitions as better cash flow and investor sentiment unlock deal‑making.[3][4] The recent merger giving distributor Petalfast statewide reach in California, and Mint Cannabis’ plan to open 18 medical dispensaries in Florida, exemplify an expansion push focused on scale, supply‑chain reach, and community‑oriented retail.[2][6]
At the same time, state‑level oversupply remains a drag, reflected in a more than 20 percent drop in active U.S. cultivation licenses over the past year, as weaker growers exit and survivors chase efficiency and premium positioning.[7] Consumers are responding to sustained price compression and aggressive promotions, from deep discounts in Florida to expanding bulk‑buy options, further normalizing cannabis as a wellness and everyday product while pressuring margins.[6]
Compared with prior reporting that emphasized capital flight, falling wholesale prices, and license contraction, today’s narrative is one of cautious transition: still oversupplied and fragmented, but with a credible federal tax and regulatory path that industry leaders are racing to seize.
For great deals today, check out https://amzn.to/44ci4hQ
This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI