The Kinvestor Report

TKR056 | Trigger Warning: The Real Commodity Thesis with Tavi Costa on The Kinvestor Report


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In this episode, Arlen is joined by Tavi Costa, Founder and CEO of Azuria Capital and former Partner at Crescat Capital. Tavi and Arlen explore the structural case for a new commodity supercycle, why gold and silver could be entering a multi-year bull phase, how a weakening U.S. dollar may trigger a global capital rotation into Europe and China, and what investors should focus on instead of trying to predict the next market “trigger.”


🔎 Inside this Episode:

🔹 The structural case for a commodity supercycle

🔹 Why gold, silver & energy could lead this decade

🔹 The macro imbalances forcing lower rates

🔹 Dollar weakness & the “Great Rotation” into Europe and China

🔹 Contrarian plays: Chinese equities & European banks

🔹 What the most over-hyped commodity is right now (and what to look at instead!)

🔹 Why the trigger doesn’t matter — the thesis does

🔹 And more!


📌 About Our Guest – Tavi Costa

Tavi is a macro investor and mining entrepreneur, and the Founder and CEO of Azuria Capital. Previously a Partner at Crescat Capital LLC, he built a global following for his macro research and thematic investment frameworks. He is also the founding shareholder of San Cristóbal Mining, formed following the acquisition of the world’s fourth-largest silver mine. Tavi is regularly featured in The Wall Street Journal, Barron's, and Bloomberg, and has presented at the International Monetary Fund.


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📲 Connect with The Kinvestor Report:

✅ Follow Kinvestor on X/Twitter: https://x.com/KinvestorHQ

✅ Follow Arlen Hansen on X/Twitter: https://x.com/ArlenHansen

✅ Visit Our Website: https://kincommunications.com/kinvestor-network/


🌐 Follow Tavi:

X: https://x.com/TaviCosta

Website: https://azuriacapital.com/

LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/otavio-tavi-costa-76368628/


📌 Chapters:

00:00 Intro

01:27 Where are we in the cycle?

05:03 Commodities in big demand

08:41 Tavi's top 3 things to watch

13:00 Cyclical vs Structural trades

14:41 Comparable time in history and where we're headed

17:19 "No excuses not to be billionaires"

18:44 Opportunities outside of gold, silver, copper

22:48 Rapid fire questions

28:31 Outro


🎥 Episode recorded: February 24, 2026

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