David Dilley, a former NOAA and Air Force meteorologist, says climate is driven by natural “climate pulse” cycles from Earth–Moon–Sun gravitational/electromagnetic interactions, not human CO2. He argues warming and cooling have repeated for centuries and claims Arctic ice loss since 1990 is mainly from periodic surges of warm Atlantic subsurface water about every nine years. He critiques NOAA temperature averaging and ice-core CO2 estimates, citing fossil leaf stomata to claim CO2 often exceeded 300 ppm and that most post-1850 CO2 rise is natural. He forecasts a global cooling cycle starting around 2030 lasting 60–75 years, with shorter growing seasons, possible food shortages, and greater energy needs. He advocates shifting climate research funding and expanding thorium/molten-salt nuclear power.

00:00 Shorter Growing Seasons & Food Shortage Warnings (2030s)

00:31 Meet Meteorologist David Dilley + Climate Pulse Tech Overview

03:49 CO₂ Since 1850: Challenging the “All Fossil Fuels” Claim

05:05 Historic Warming & Cooling Cycles: Medieval Warm Period to Today

07:44 Why Arctic Ice Melted (1990–2025): Warm Atlantic Surges

10:52 How NOAA Calculates Global Temps: Oceans Skew the Average

13:39 Earth–Moon–Sun Cycles: The “Climate Pulse” & Long-Term Rhythms

17:49 Gravitational Peaks & the Coming Global Cooling Cycle

21:55 CO₂ Proxies Explained: Ice Cores vs Fossil Leaf Stomata

27:36 Correcting the CO₂ Record: Natural vs Human Contributions

33:10 CO₂ in the Atmosphere: What the Numbers Actually Are

35:30 Ocean Cycles 101: The Atlantic’s 65–70 Year Warm/Cold Pattern

38:42 ENSO Shift Ahead: La Niña to El Niño and ‘Erratic Weather’ (2027–2030)

40:27 2030 Arctic Freeze-Up Forecast: Cold Water ‘Plunges’ and Europe’s ‘Beast from the East’

41:40 All Oceans + Solar/Geomagnetic Cycles: Why the 2030s Could Flip to Cooling

43:16 Energy Crunch in a Cooling World: AI Power Demand, Heat Pumps, and Grid Risk

44:39 Next-Gen Nuclear Pitch: Molten Salt & Thorium Reactors vs Wind

51:39 Sudden Stratospheric Warming Explained: Jet Stream ‘Rubber Band’ Break

55:54 Food & Society Impacts: Shorter Growing Seasons, Europe Cold, and ‘Year Without a Summer’

01:02:54 Wrap-Up: Call to Refocus Research Away from ‘Political Science’

David Dilley’s March 2025 appearance on this podcast (episode #284): https://youtu.be/DKNP_LXp0o8

https://www.globalweathercycles.com/

http://www.globalweatheroscillations.com/

https://x.com/WeatherCycles

https://www.youtube.com/@DilleyGlobalWeatherCycles

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Paul Burgess presents updates to his Burgess Oceanic Solar CO2 index, claiming it precisely matches satellite temperatures from 1982–2025 without changing its fixed formula, including UAH v6.1 and final 2024–2025 data despite a record-low PDO. He says the index is not a forecasting model and implies ECS is 1°C, with ~25% warming from CO2 and ~22–23% from human CO2 after outgassing. A second paper argues oceans drive low-cloud changes (1–3 year lag), with ~2% cloud decline explaining warming, challenging IPCC positive feedbacks. He previews an extension back to 1900 with ~0.96 correlation using a UHI adjustment (Connolly 2021) and invites critique by email.

00:00 Paul Burgess Returns: Introducing the Oceanic Solar CO₂ Index Update

00:24 How the Index Matches Satellite Temps (and Why That’s Unusual)

01:02 No Curve-Fitting: Validation, Critiques, and Why It’s Public

02:19 Completing 2024–2025 + Switching UAH v6.0 to v6.1

03:42 Index vs Model: Fixed Formula, Inputs, and What It Can (and Can’t) Forecast

05:01 CO₂ Contribution & ECS = 1°C: What the Index Implies

07:01 Paper #1 Results: Record-Low PDO Stress Test and Fit Metrics

11:43 From Statistics to Physics: Paper #2 on Oceans, Clouds, and Sunlight

13:03 Clouds as Earth’s Thermostat: The ~2% Low-Cloud Change Claim

15:58 Cloud Layers & Evidence: Low Clouds Drive the Signal

17:58 IPCC Feedback Story Explained (and Critiqued)

21:31 Chicken-and-Egg Problem: Ocean–Cloud Coupling and the 1–3 Year Lag

22:00 Paper #3 Teaser: Testing Water Vapor, Albedo, and Cloud Feedbacks

27:21 Key Takeaways: Albedo/Ice Changes Follow Warming + Better Cloud Observations

28:19 Cloud Cover vs. Shortwave Radiation: What the Satellite Data Shows

28:59 Takeaway #3: Low Clouds as an Ocean-Driven “Sunshade” (Not a Warming Amplifier)

29:37 Four Key Lessons: Ocean Leads Clouds, and the Radiative Effect Matches

30:57 Implications for Climate Sensitivity: Why Models May Overstate CO₂ Feedbacks

32:07 How to Critique the Framework: Falsification Tests and Evidence Chain

34:57 Extending the BOI Back to 1900: Data Limits, UHI Adjustments, and Out-of-Sample Logic

36:12 Sneak Peek Results: BOI 1900–2025 and the 0.96 Correlation Claim

40:23 Q&A: How the BOI Coefficients Were Built (Covariance Fitting, Weights, Inputs)

43:51 Testing and Next Steps: Volcano Signals, Ocean Mechanisms, and Future Projections

47:02 Forecast vs. IPCC + Wrap-Up: Cooling Possibility, Politics, and Contact Info

Email: [email protected]

Explaining Every Temperature Change from 1983 to 2025 - My Most Important Work Ever: https://substack.com/home/post/p-182701114

Linking Ocean Heat, Low Clouds, and Sunlight In Burgess Oceanic index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/linking-ocean-heat-low-clouds-and

Testing Water Vapour, Albedo and Cloud Feedback with the Burgess Oceanic Index: https://paulburgess3.substack.com/p/testing-water-vapour-albedo-and-cloud

Climate Realism by Paul Burgess: https://www.youtube.com/@ClimateRealism

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Joseph Fournier presents “part two” on how Pacific Walker circulation controls Earth’s largest greenhouse effect: cloud longwave radiative forcing. He explains cloud radiative forcing terminology, cites literature claiming cloud greenhouse warming dwarfs CO2 forcing, and shows satellite-era links between trade winds, cloud shifts during ENSO, outgoing longwave radiation, and global/tropical temperature anomalies. He contrasts absorbed solar radiation, OLR, and Earth energy imbalance, arguing global averages can be dominated by regional Pacific dynamics. He reviews multidecadal “dimming/brightening” sunshine trends in Europe, Japan and the U.S., discusses aerosols vs natural drivers, and briefly addresses future uncertainty, AMO/IPO impacts, and solar/cosmic-ray hypotheses. 

00:00 Welcome Back: Joseph Fournier & Why This Is “Part Two”

02:15 Cloud Basics 101: Shortwave vs Longwave, Net Cloud Radiative Forcing

05:51 Albedo Matters: How Small Cloud Changes Rival CO₂ Forcing

08:40 Evidence in the Literature: Trendberth and Early Satellite Cloud Forcing Maps

14:28 Clouds vs CO₂ Since 2000: Step-Change in Cloudiness and OLR

16:56 Geography Over Global Averages: The Western Pacific Warm Pool Hotspot

20:12 Warm Pool Size, SST, and Real-World Impacts (Winters, ENSO Timescales)

22:48 Walker Circulation Explained: Where Deep Convection Sits in La Niña vs El Niño

25:34 Warm Pool “Thermal Capacitor”: Thermocline Slosh, Water Volume, and Cloud Shift

30:32 Sea Level Pile-Up and the Gravity-Driven Discharge During El Niño

32:36 Radiation Signatures of ENSO: DLW/OLR Links to Niño Indices

36:13 Cloud Forcing Ratios & Decadal Patterns: What El Niño Does to Warm Pool Clouds

40:34 Global Signals: OLR vs Global Air Temperature and the ENSO Lead–Lag

45:14 Trade Winds as the Control Knob: Linking Pacific Easterlies to Global OLR

47:44 Tropical temps, OLR & trade winds: Walker circulation link

48:42 Clouds as the “other knob”: absorbed shortwave (ASR) vs temperature

50:29 2023 El Niño cloud changes: low-cloud cover & shifting albedo

53:49 ASR vs OLR since 2000: the hiatus ends and the energy budget shifts

55:44 Earth Energy Imbalance (EEI) vs GAT: why the correlation breaks

57:58 Seasonal cycle first: EEI swings, hemispheres, clouds & land–ocean contrast

01:00:10 Wrap-up: two greenhouse effects & a call for academics to test it

01:02:54 Sunshine hours & AMO: UK/Europe brightening over the 20th century

01:07:26 Aerosols vs clouds: modern satellite trends and the “brightening” debate

01:11:53 Global dimming/brightening goes global: Japan/China records & Pacific teleconnections

01:12:56 Natural vs human drivers: when aerosols don’t explain surface radiation

01:18:13 Forecasting the next decade: sun, AMO/IPO, cooling claims & big uncertainties

01:26:17 Closing remarks: slides, Substack, and the climate–energy–geopolitics link

More information about Joseph Fournier: https://co2coalition.org/teammember/joseph-fournier/

His 2024 presentation: https://youtu.be/P2hVW0R67CY

Joseph’s Substack: https://josephfournier.substack.com/

X: https://x.com/JosephF55175005

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Jamie Andrews discusses his journey from geology to virology, questioning the mechanisms and validity of virus transmission and pathogenic theories, especially in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Drawing on historical and contemporary controlled human infection studies, Andrews suggests that viruses do not spread as traditionally believed and criticizes the reliance on PCR tests for diagnosing viral infections. He also questions the role of global institutions in shaping scientific narratives, proposing that environmental factors and industrial toxins may play a more significant role in disease than viruses.

00:00 Introduction and Guest Welcome

00:20 Journey into Virology and 2020 Events

01:21 Geology Background and Climate Data

04:48 Skepticism and Investigations

10:28 Controlled Human Infection Models

11:25 Spanish Flu and Historical Experiments

15:42 Modern Virology and Contagion Studies

31:36 Court Cases and Legal Battles

39:01 Realizing the Potential of Independent Research

40:21 Crowdsourcing and Engaging CROs

41:16 Following Standard Laboratory Protocols

41:56 Unexpected Findings in Cell Cultures

45:22 Microscopy and Viral Morphologies

49:36 Challenges with Mainstream Virology

54:58 Genetic Sequencing and Future Research

01:02:05 Debating Historical Disease Outbreaks

01:10:20 Concluding Thoughts and Future Directions

https://x.com/JamieAA_Again

https://substack.com/@controlstudies

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Joseph Hickey from CORRELATION Research in the Public Interest discusses findings on Canada’s temperature records, revealing a unique stepwise increase in 1998 that accounts for all the country’s warming since 1948. This anomaly challenges the prevailing CO2-driven warming paradigm, suggesting potential influences from natural climate variability, such as ocean oscillations. Hickey also highlights issues of data adjustments and inconsistencies in Environment Canada’s records.

00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction

00:23 Overview of Correlation Research

02:13 Joseph Hickey's Background

03:53 Initial Observations on Temperature Data

08:18 Stepwise Increase in Temperature Data

11:12 Geographical Spread of Temperature Steps

18:31 Analysis of Temperature Trends Post-1998

27:24 Potential Causes of Temperature Steps

34:09 Conclusion and Future Research

35:19 Q&A Session

https://x.com/josephmhickey

https://www.researchgate.net/profile/Joseph-Hickey-5

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Jonathan Cohler and Willie Soon present a rebuttal to assertions made by Ned Nikolov about the physical meaning of global mean surface temperature (GMST). They argue that GMST is a physically meaningless statistical construct that cannot represent the Earth's thermal state or energy content due to its basis in non-equilibrium thermodynamics. They emphasize that temperature is an intensive property and its aggregation across different systems is fundamentally flawed from both mathematical and thermodynamic perspectives.

00:00 Introduction and Guest Introduction

00:38 Global Temperature: Physically Meaningless

01:28 Thermodynamics and Its Importance

02:26 Disagreement in Science

02:58 Essex Etal 2007 Paper Discussion

04:25 Defining Global Mean Surface Temperature (GMST)

08:04 Temperature and Energy Relationship

15:43 Critique of Nikolov's Claims

34:26 Averaging Methods and Their Flaws

49:28 Debunking Global Temperature Myths

49:48 The Flaws in Global Temperature Estimation

51:23 Classical Realism and Thermodynamics

53:06 Critique of GMST and Climate Models

54:23 The Paris Agreement and GMST

55:47 Misconceptions in Climate Science

01:14:21 The Role of AI in Climate Research

01:20:03 Concluding Thoughts and Future Work

https://jonathancohler.com/

https://x.com/cohler

DDP July 2025 presentation: “The Father of Lies: Hijacking Climate Science - Jonathan Cohler”: https://youtu.be/o_YJgD5cy1I

DDP July 2025 presentation: How well can we measure the Earth’s energy budget? Willie Soon, Ph.D.: https://youtu.be/tI0qmV2Bbc8

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Ned Nikolov discusses the physical meaning of the global mean surface temperature, addressing critiques by papers from Essex et al. (2007) and Jonathan Cohler (2025) that question its validity. Nikolov argues that these critiques misunderstand thermodynamic principles, and presents his own analysis, supported by satellite data, which shows a meaningful correlation between global mean surface temperature and energy fluxes. He emphasizes the importance of using accurate scientific principles when critiquing climate science to maintain credibility.

00:00 Introduction and Topic Overview

00:38 Questioning the Global Mean Surface Temperature

01:24 Review of Key Papers

02:23 Arguments Against Global Mean Surface Temperature

04:29 Analyzing the Validity of Temperature Averages

09:47 Kohler's Perspective on Temperature Measurement

19:03 Empirical Data and Model Comparisons

33:45 Understanding Temperature in Thermodynamics

37:49 Introduction to Temperature and Energy Concepts

38:09 Kohler's Statement and Its Flaws

38:34 Understanding Internal Energy and PV Energy

40:39 The Gas Law and Its Implications

43:08 Boltzmann Constant and Molecular Energy

44:11 Degrees of Freedom in Gas Molecules

45:06 Combining Equations for Total Energy

48:33 Temperature and Energy Relationship

49:11 Redefining Kelvin Using Boltzmann Constant

54:57 Global Mean Surface Temperature

57:55 Calculating Moon's Average Temperature

01:02:05 Latitude and Global Temperature Relationship

01:06:36 Critique of IPCC and Climate Skeptics

01:09:35 Q&A and Final Thoughts

 Essex et al. (2007): https://www.fys.ku.dk/~andresen/BAhome/ownpapers/globalTexist.pdf

 Cohler (2025): https://www.jpands.org/vol30no4/cohler.pdf

 Nikolv & Zeller (2024): https://www.mdpi.com/2673-7418/4/3/17

Open Letter to IPCC: https://tallbloke.wordpress.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/02/open_letter_to_ipcc_authors.pdf

My tweet about NASA and global average temperature being 62.45F, or between 56F and 58F, or something: https://x.com/TomANelson/status/1033711214109646848

https://x.com/NikolovScience

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Steve Davies discusses the major themes of his new book ‘The Great Realignment: Why the New Right Wing Politics is Here to Stay,’ which analyzes the political upheaval since the mid-2000s. He explains how traditional left vs. right economic issues have been replaced by a new alignment based on nationalism vs. cosmopolitanism, driven by deep structural changes in the global economy and political landscape. Davies also touches on topics like digital IDs, the future of climate change policies, open borders, and the impact of emerging geopolitical shifts.

00:00 Introduction to Steve Davies and His New Book

01:32 The Great Realignment: Political Upheaval Explained

03:17 The Collapse of Traditional Major Parties

04:54 The Permanent Nature of New Right Politics

05:35 Understanding Political Realignment

09:40 The Shift from Economics to Globalization vs. Cosmopolitanism

15:48 Material Causes Behind Political Changes

16:44 Impact of Global Investment and Migration

19:46 The Role of Meritocracy and Cultural Splits

21:39 Climate Change in the New Political Divide

27:09 Alternative Solutions to Global Problems

29:41 The Future of the United Nations

31:08 Global Power Shifts and the Decline of the UN

33:49 The Looming Debt Crisis

34:59 The Impact of Aging Populations on National Budgets

37:12 Potential Solutions to the Debt Problem

38:07 The Future of the US Dollar and Global Finance

40:21 Public Spending and Corruption

42:39 The Threat of Digital Dystopia

47:14 Open Borders and Immigration Policies

58:48 Final Thoughts on Future Political Landscapes

https://x.com/SteveDavies365

========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Author Ralph Pezzullo discusses his book 'Stolen Elections' based on a five-year investigation by government whistleblowers into the manipulation of elections via compromised software developed in Venezuela. The book details how this software, allegedly used to rig elections in 72 countries, was partly responsible for suspected fraud in U.S. elections since 2008. With insights from whistleblowers, computer experts, and endorsements from figures like Elon Musk, Pezzullo emphasizes the need to revert to paper ballots and ID-based voting to restore electoral integrity.

00:00 Introduction to Ralph Pezzullo and His Book

00:12 Whistleblowers and Their Backgrounds

01:25 Publicity and High-Profile Awareness

02:05 The Criminal Cartel and Election Software

05:36 Global Impact and Historical Context

08:53 Infiltration and Manipulation in the U.S.

12:47 Efforts to Expose and Combat the Fraud

23:43 Challenges and Resistance

27:01 The 2016 and 2024 Elections

38:42 Support and Skepticism

49:18 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

https://x.com/RalphPezzullo

https://linktr.ee/hbh_pod

Stolen Elections book trailer: https://youtu.be/iEwa-SLnODY

Stolen Elections on Amazon: https://a.co/d/cLBwpha

https://stolenelectionsfacts.com/

=========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

Alvin Wong, a researcher from the University of Hong Kong, discusses the significant yet often underestimated impact of volcanic eruptions on global weather patterns and climate change. Highlighting studies from various volcanic events, including the 1982 El Chichon and the 2021-2022 Tonga eruptions, Wong explains how volcanic materials and geothermal heat released during eruptions can alter atmospheric and oceanic systems, leading to extreme weather phenomena like heavy rainfall and altered ocean circulation. Wong calls for a greater consideration of volcanic activity in climate models to improve weather prediction and understanding of climate variability.

00:00 Introduction to Alvin Wong and Volcanic Eruptions

04:13 Hong Kong Rainfall Records and Volcanic Eruptions

29:22 Geothermal Heat from Volcanic Eruptions

32:48 The 2021-2022 Hunga Tonga Eruption

46:50 Global Impact of the Hunga Tonga Eruption

01:02:04 Short-term and Long-term Effects of Volcanic Eruptions

01:10:14 Volcanic Eruptions and Extreme Weather Events

01:17:03 Future Research and Predictions

01:24:17 Conclusion and Final Thoughts

https://volcanostudygrouphk.wordpress.com/author/taipofo/

========

Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries

My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1