With fiscal stimulus and accommodative monetary policy buoying the U.S. economic recovery, prominent economists from former Treasury Secretary Lawrence Summers to former IMF Chief Economist Olivier Blanchard have raised concerns that the U.S. economy could be headed for overheating and inflation. In the latest episode of Exchanges at Goldman Sachs: Top of Mind, host Allison Nathan weighs these reflation risks in conversations with the firm’s chief economist Jan Hatzius and GS Research’s senior markets strategist Dominic Wilson.

Top of Mind: Reflation Risk

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The newest generation of GLP-1 drugs are being hailed by some as “miracle drugs” for the treatment of obesity. But GLP-1s are expensive, insurance coverage is limited, and not everyone with obesity can and or wants to take them. In this episode, which is based on Goldman Sachs Research’s latest Top of Mind report, obesity medicine physician Dr. Fatima Cody Stanford and Jonathan Gruber, professor of economics and chairman of the Economics Department at MIT, discuss how large the addressable market for GLP-1s actually is and the implications for US fiscal health.  
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Weighing the GLP-1 Market

Goldman Sachs Research’s US Chief Economist David Mericle explains why worries over overheating inflation are overblown and why the outlook for US economic growth remains relatively strong.
And if you want more insights from Goldman Sachs, make sure to visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.

Are inflation fears overblown? The outlook for inflation, US growth, and long-term rates

Where do the world’s largest investors see investment opportunities? Against a more constructive macroeconomic environment, insurers appear to be more willing to take on risk in their portfolios. Goldman Sachs’ Mike Siegel and Matt Armas discuss where insurers see opportunities and risks, and other findings from their 13th annual Global Insurance Survey.

Global insurers turn to private credit — and AI

Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace discusses the firm’s distinct investment process and culture, how he’s thinking about macro trends, and his lessons for leadership. Lovelace, whose grandfather Jonathan Bell Lovelace founded the firm in 1931, recently stepped down at the privately held firm as vice chair and president and continues as a portfolio manager.
If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.

Capital Group’s Rob Lovelace on long-term investing, succession planning, and leadership lessons

The US stock market is more concentrated than it’s been in decades, with a small number of stocks accounting for an unusually large share of market capitalization. While it’s making some investors uneasy, Ben Snider, a senior strategist on the US portfolio strategy team in Goldman Sachs Research, and Peter Callahan, who covers the US technology, media, and telecommunications markets business in Global Banking & Markets, point out on Goldman Sachs Exchanges that these stocks' valuations reflect strong earnings.
If you'd like to learn more, visit GS.com and sign up for Briefings, a weekly newsletter from Goldman Sachs about trends spanning markets, industries, and the global economy.

Top of Mind: Reflation Risk

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