ML - The way the world works - analyzing how things work

Trade deficit


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Trade deficit
The reason for the trade deficit can be boiled down to the United States as a whole spending more money than it makes, which results in a current account deficit. That additional spending must, by definition, go toward foreign goods and services. Financing that spending happens in the form of either borrowing from foreign lenders (which adds to the U.S. national debt) or foreign investing in U.S. assets and businesses—the capital account.
The deficit has averaged $535 billion since 2000, much higher than in previous decades, when it accounted for well below 2 percent of GDP.
The United States ran a $419 billion goods deficit with China in 2018. The next largest contributor to the goods deficit, at $151 billion, is the European Union, followed by Mexico at $81.5 billion, Japan at $67.6 billion, and Malaysia at $26.5 billion.
Beijing undertook deep economic reforms and implemented policies to subsidize production, accelerate industrialization, and boost exports. In the process China earned the moniker “the world’s factory.” Economists also note the acceleration of Chinese export growth after the country’s entry into the World Trade Organization (WTO) in 2001.
https://www.cfr.org/backgrounder/us-trade-deficit-how-much-does-it-matter
China is buying US treasuries
they pay for it by loaning money to US consumers to buy their products and then the US consumer pays for it with interest to the Chinese
they are buying US treasuries they pay for it by loaning money to US consumers to buy their products and then the US consumer pays for it with interest to the Chinese
The trade deficit is a problem It's a one-sided problem If the trade deficit was one sided in both directions, then the balance would be zero A trade deficit is not at all the same thing as a capital account surplus
the trade deficit is a zero sum game
trade deficit means when the US sells stuff to China they are only getting half of the deal
China gets paid they get the stuff then they lend the money to the US to buy the stuff China has already sold
they don't spend that money on buying US goods and services
they are a net seller of US goods and services
the only time China buys US goods and services is when the US is a net seller of US goods and services
it is a one sided problem and the trade deficit is a zero sum game trade deficit means when the US sells stuff to China they are only getting half of the deal china gets paid they get the stuff then they lend the money to the US to buy the stuff China has already sold they don't spend that money on buying US goods and services they are a net seller of US goods and servicesthe only time China buys US goods and services is when the US is a net seller of US goods and services
China sells more to the US than they buy from the US But the US, along with Germany and Japan, all purchase more than they sell to China, so they have a surplus in their trade with China
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ML - The way the world works - analyzing how things workBy David Nishimoto

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