On this episode of Trumponomics, we ask what Israel’s war with Iran, Donald Trump’s public musings about sending America to fight again in the Middle East and a potentially soaring oil price would mean for the US economy—and the 79-year-old Republican’s economic plans. We also address why those high oil prices haven’t yet come to pass.

Host Stephanie Flanders is joined by Jennifer Welch, chief geoeconomics analyst for Bloomberg Economics and Ziad Daoud, chief emerging markets economist and senior fellow at the Harvard Kennedy School. 

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Stephanie Flanders leads a panel from the Hong Kong Invest conference to unpack the latest round of high-stakes trade talks between the US and China, exploring why Beijing may still have the upper hand and how far any decoupling of the two economies will go. She's joined by Robin Xing, Chief China Economist at Morgan Stanley, Lotus Asset Management Chief Investment Officer Hao Hong, and Bloomberg reporter Rebecca Choong Wilkins. 

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What kind of US economy will emerge from the policies of Donald Trump? Will it be more or less competitive and resilient than what the president inherited at the start of the year? 

​Host Stephanie Flanders put that question to an all-star panel at the Milken conference in May. Here's an edited version of the conversation that followed, featuring Gary Cohn, IBM Vice Chairman, former director of the National Economic Council and former chief economic advisor to Trump; Peter Orszag, CEO and Chairman of Lazard and former director of the Office of Management and Budget under President Barack Obama; and Kevin McCarthy, 55th Speaker of the US House of Representatives. 

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This week, we’re checking in on the status of Donald Trump’s trade war. Host Stephanie Flanders is joined by Anna Wong, chief US economist at Bloomberg Economics, for insight into the economic impact of the US president’s policies so far, and Bloomberg White House Reporter Josh Wingrove, who unpacks how the strategy is evolving. They analyze the legal battle over Trump’s tariffs and concern on Wall Street that the trade war could morph into a capital war. 

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Framed as a tool to protect American workers, rebalance trade and revive the nation’s domestic industry, the tariffs levied by Donald Trump came with a promise of bold results. On this episode of Trumponomics, Richard Baldwin, professor of international economics at IMD Business School, says the trade war is unlikely to accomplish its stated goals and that the world may very well leave America behind. 

Imposed unilaterally and outside the guardrails of the World Trade Organization, the president’s tariffs represent a sharp break from decades of US policy. Baldwin, author of The Great Trade Hack: How Trump’s Trade War Fails and Global Trade Moves On, tells host Stephanie Flanders, Bloomberg’s head of Economics and Government, that the levies weren’t about reciprocity or even results. Instead, they are about “grievance.”

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Host Stephanie Flanders, Bloomberg’s Head of Government and Economics, leads a panel from the Qatar Economic Forum in Doha to explore the question of what Trumponomics means for the Middle East. It turns out the answer may be—as Donald Trump would put it—a lot of winning.

Dina Esfandiary, Middle East geoeconomics lead for Bloomberg Economics, Ziad Daoud, chief emerging markets economist for Bloomberg Economics, and John Micklethwait, Bloomberg’s Editor in Chief, feature on the panel. 

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We’re stepping back from the recent series of reversals, deals and temporary ceasefires in Donald Trump’s trade war to ask a few questions—namely does the US president have a strategy, and if so how’s it going and what comes next?

Stephen Moore, the author of The Trump Economic Miracle and a senior fellow in economics at the Heritage Foundation, and Bloomberg Senior White House Reporter Josh Wingrove join. 

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Historian and commentator Niall Ferguson and CNN host and author Fareed Zakaria join this week’s Trumponomics to place Donald Trump's ambitious plans for the US economy in historical perspective. The conversation was taped at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Beverly Hills. 

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On this episode of Trumponomics, we discuss why India stands to gain from the US trade war with China and the rest of the world. Host Stephanie Flanders speaks with Bloomberg senior editor Chris Anstey and reporter Shruti Srivastava, as well as Bloomberg Economics senior India economist Abhishek Gupta. They look at how India has been able to pull ahead of rivals as the US roils the world, and specifically whether the Republican in the White House may unintentionally be boosting the South Asian nation’s long-term ambitions to replace China as the “factory of the world.” 

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What are the long-term implications of Donald Trump's attacks on Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell? Host Stephanie Flanders is joined by Krishna Guha, vice chairman of Evercore ISI and head of its Global Policy and Central Bank Strategy Team, and Bloomberg managing editor Kate Davidson. 

“Up to this point, the market has confidence that the Fed will do whatever turns out to be necessary to prevent this initial, very big wave of one-time tariff inflation,” Guha says. “But that’s premised on the idea the Fed is free to do what it judges as needed.” As bad as Trump’s trade war has been for markets, Guha warns that if Wall Street begins to doubt Fed independence, things could get much worse.

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