July 16, 2025

Trump’s Big Beautiful Rare Earth Monopoly | Steve LeVine & Matt Fernley

1 hour 6 minutes

In this episode, I speak with veteran battery journalist Steve LeVine (The Electric) and critical materials expert Matt Fernley (Battery Materials Review) about the implications of former President Trump's recently passed "Big Beautiful Battery Bill."

We unpack the nuances of this landmark legislation, highlighting why some experts see it as potentially transformative for U.S. battery and critical mineral industries, despite mixed reactions from the broader clean-energy sector. Steve shares insights on how, despite reductions to EV tax credits and renewable energy incentives, the bill allocates significant Department of Defense (DoD) lending authority aimed at boosting domestic battery capacity and possibly enabling strategic joint ventures with Chinese battery makers.

The discussion deepens into recent headlines involving MP Materials ($MP) and the Department of Defense's groundbreaking decision to become the company's largest shareholder, alongside a 10-year price-floor commitment for rare-earth magnets. Matt provides critical insights on what this unique development could mean for the broader critical minerals sector and addresses whether similar support mechanisms might emerge for lithium, nickel, graphite, and other essential materials.

We also briefly touch on Tesla’s evolving market challenges, political dynamics around U.S.-China collaboration, and the future of robotaxis and autonomous systems, with Steve providing measured skepticism around near-term impacts.

This conversation is timely for retail investors seeking clear, nuanced analysis of how recent U.S. policy shifts could reshape investment opportunities across battery technology, critical minerals, and clean energy markets.

CHAPTERS 📖

(00:00:00) Introduction

(00:00:51) Overview of Trump's Big Beautiful Battery Bill

(00:03:07) Steve's Optimistic Take on Battery Provisions

(00:07:15) Ford-CATL Licensing Deal and Local Content Rule Revisions

(00:08:11) Chinese Partnerships and U.S. Manufacturing Capacity

(00:14:53) Supply Push vs. Demand Pull Without EV Incentives

(00:22:11) Raw Materials and Critical Minerals Strategy

(00:25:43) DoD's Rare Earth Investment (MP Materials) and Price-Floor Mechanism

(00:41:54) Tesla, Robotaxis, and Political Dynamics

(01:04:42) Closing Remarks

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Links 🌍

The Electric: https://www.theinformation.com/features/the-electric

Battery Materials Review: https://www.batterymaterialsreview.com/

RK Equity Website: https://rkequity.com/

Patreon: https://www.patreon.com/rockstockchannel

Podcast:

Apple Podcast: https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/lithium-ion-rocks/id1457969172

Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/0KiMIZOPaDg8ENfPJMSINq

X (Twitter):

Howard: https://twitter.com/LithiumIonBull

Rodney: https://twitter.com/RodneyHooper13

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DISCLAIMER

NOT INVESTMENT ADVICE. DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH

Rodney and Howard are not financial advisors nor broker-dealers, this video is for information purposes only and should not be considered investment or financial advice. Please do your own independent research and read the disclaimer at the end of the video or on RK Equity’s website https://www.rkequity.com

Intro and outro audio credit: Jamie Klein

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