Financial Review

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….Dow, S&P, Nasdaq, Russell all hit record high close. Markets price in best-case scenario. Yellen testimony this week in Washington. Trudeau-Trump tete a tete. Japan and China sell off US Treasuries. Oil down despite OPEC. Oroville Dam, damn. Financial Review by Sinclair Noe for 02-13-2017 DOW + 142 = 20412 SPX + 12 = 2328 NAS + 29 = 5763 RUT + 3 = 1392 10Y + .02 = 2.43% OIL – .98 = 52.88 GOLD + 8.20 = 1225.70   Wall Street hit record highs again. Stock markets around the world were higher this morning. The S&P 500’s market value topped $20 trillion. The markets appear to be pricing in a best-case scenario for Trump tax cuts, deregulation, plus infrastructure spending. The problem is that Washington is unlikely to deliver best-case. There are differing opinions on where to cut taxes, by how much, and when. Some of the proponents of tax cuts are also strong deficit hawks who will need to reconcile the books with more than blind faith and dynamic scoring. Even if you think you have the right economic theory, there are always unintended consequences. Don’t hold your breath waiting for tax action this year. The budget is not agile, and even if unanimity is possible (highly doubtful), it will take time. Assuming of course that there are no distractions. Good luck. Infrastructure spending is not exactly shovel ready and there will be sharp disagreements. So far, Trump’s plan largely means privatizing infrastructure development with tax credits. ...
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Financial ReviewBy Sinclair Noe