A mid-year performance recap and outlook for the municipal bond market, including a look at why munis are poised for a better second-half performance. We also cover sector preferences, policy implications, and investment considerations for long-term munis. Featured is Sudip Mukherjee, Fixed Income Strategist Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

US June consumer price inflation is the first number that might show trade tax effects. Only half the expected trade tax rise has hit the economy so far. Inventory stockpiling means pre-tax items are still available. How readily US firms can pass on price increases matters. Post-pandemic inflation made this easier. Tariffs have dominated the (non-Republican) media narrative, making price increases easier. The details, not the headlines, will indicate the potential scale of the inflation surge.

Jason weighs in on range of top-of-mind topics to begin the week, including the resurgence of tariff and Fed independence concerns, along with a preview of the upcoming earnings season and June inflation data. We also touch on why the “Roaring 20s” regime is still in play, and review CIO’s current market outlook and positioning recommendations. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

Financial markets seem content to assume US President Trump will default to retreating from their latest trade tax threats. If financial investors want to change their position, they can do so at the touch of a button. In the real world, decisions around factory construction or hiring cannot be reversed so quickly, and the random nature of policy therefore raises real world risks that may have consequences.

Tune in every Monday morning ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on the most important market drivers in the week ahead, along with opportunities beyond the consensus. This week - how to think about this past weekend’s tariff developments, high equity valuations, June CPI data, and bank earnings.

On this week’s episode of Viewpoints, Burkhard weighs whether investors are entering the summer season with a sense of complacency as markets hover near all-time highs despite persisting uncertainty. We also touch on the prospects for Fed rate cuts in the coming months and the implications of the implementation of “curve control” to investors and global markets.

Matt Tormey, Equity Strategist Americas from the UBS Chief Investment Office, joins Shiavon Chatman to recap the trading week - including an update on the latest developments surrounding US trade policy, and thoughts on current US equity valuations. Plus, a preview of the upcoming corporate reporting season, and recommendations when it comes to positioning within US equities.

The latest US tax increases were a 35% tax on products from Canada—in spite of Canadian concessions over digital taxes. It is not clear if the tax applies to all Canadian products, or just products not covered by the revised NAFTA (currently taxed at 25%), or to oil (currently 10%). US President Trump signaled that when they were tired of the lost art of letter writing, all remaining countries would be taxed at 15% to 20% (the penguins of the Heard and McDonald Islands thus know their fate).

Alejo rejoins in studio for a mid-year conversation on the Emerging Markets, including a recap of first-half performance drivers, expectations for the second-half, and thoughts on positioning across emerging market assets. Featured is Alejo Czerwonko, Chief Investment Officer for Emerging Markets Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The Federal Reserve meeting minutes were a masterclass in the art of sitting on a fence. US President Trump’s trade tax inflation might be a one-off, or it might persist. The labor market may be weak enough to justify rate cuts, or not. Uncertainty over trade tax levels is a problem, but the real issue is the lack of clarity about the severity of second-round effects (e.g. profit-led inflation). Masterful inactivity seems the default policy option.