The Federal Reserve’s December 2025 policy decision is finally revealed. The Fed has seemingly not attempted to change general expectations of a rate cut. Conspiracy theorists might suggest not delaying the meeting until the release of employment data implies Fed Chair Powell is confident about cutting—but there is likely to be some dissent. Dissent may cause trouble for Powell’s successor, if they command less respect than Powell.

Tune in for a timely year-end and yeah-ahead conversation on the municipal bond market, which include 2025 performance reflections and 2026 performance expectations. Featured are Daniel Close, Head of Municipals at Nuveen, and Doug Vissicchio, Head of Municipal Sales, Trading and Underwriting at UBS. Hosted by Sudip Mukherjee, Senior Fixed Income Strategist, UBS Chief Investment Office.

Germany’s October trade surplus was larger than expected, principally because of a steeper fall in import demand. Globally, trade away from the US remains robust and (more or less) normal.

We preview this week’s economic data releases, along with the December FOMC meeting. Plus, a look at some potential market-moving events to watch out for through year-end, and thoughts on what factors are supporting the equity rally as indexes once again approach record levels. Featured is Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas, UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

China’s trade surplus exceeded one trillion US dollars in the 11 months to November. Round numbers do not matter in economics, but trends do. This surplus will help China meet its official growth target, compensating for somewhat lackluster domestic demand.

Tune in at the start of the trading week ahead of the New York opening bell as Ulrike Hoffmann-Burchardi, CIO Americas and Head of Global Equities for UBS Wealth Management, briefs you on what’s the signal, and what’s just noise in the markets. Recorded on 7 December 2025.

As 2025 draws to a close, we cap off the year with Rich and Jason exchanging expectations for the market and macro environment in 2026 - including thoughts on the role of the Fed. Plus, a look at positioning preferences heading into the new year. Featured are Jason Draho, Head of Asset Allocation Americas with the UBS Chief Investment Office, and Richard Bernstein, Founder, Chief Executive Officer and Chief Investment Officer of Richard Bernstein Advisors (RBA). Host: Daniel Cassidy

Today we get information on the US consumer—but unfortunately it is a mix of old data and misdirection. September personal income and spending numbers (and the consumer expenditure deflator) should show the US consumer spending even as inflation pressures have built. Since April, consumer durable goods prices have added to inflation (having previously reduced it), for instance. However consumers have cut their savings rate to cover the price increases, keeping consumption stable.

A look at the landscape for Agency RMBS and the Housing Market, including a look at the prospects for and implications of the 50-yr and portable mortgages. Featured are Clayton Triick, Head of Portfolio Management of Public Strategies with Angel Oak Capital Advisors, and Leslie Falconio, Head of Taxable Fixed Income Strategy Americas with the UBS Chief Investment Office. Host: Daniel Cassidy

The US labor market is, rightly, a key focus. Low fear of unemployment gave US consumers the confidence to reduce savings rates. That reduction in savings rates has paid for the US consumer price increases since April, sustaining spending. The November ADP payrolls data showed labor market weakness. The ADP numbers do not necessarily have a strong relationship with reality, but the weakness increases the focus on today’s weekly initial jobless claims data.