Unexpected Points

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Find all of Josh’s work and Buy Low Model at Air Yards

Find Josh’s Buy Low model on his substack

You can watch the entire episode for free on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel.

See the Week 1 NFL quarterback rankings based on Bayesian updating and adjusted EPA efficiency.

Watch the whole podcast on the Unexpected Points YouTube channel.

The latest Deshaun Watson restructure gives us an opportunity to talk about the emerging financial alchemy teams are employing, especially with quarterback contracts.

I talk through how the Watson deal and general restructures allow teams to roster slightly better teams overall, due to the compounding rise of cap cost and shifting burdens into the future.