The US housing market continues to face challenges in early 2025, with recent data showing mixed signals. According to the National Association of Realtors, existing home sales rose 4.8% to an annualized rate of 4.15 million in November 2024, the highest level in eight months. This increase was driven by improved inventory and buyers adjusting to mortgage rates between 6% and 7%.
However, the market remains constrained by a long-term housing shortage. The country faces a deficit of nearly 1.5 million new homes due to over a decade of underbuilding. While housing inventory is projected to increase by 11.7% in 2025, it will still be 23% below pre-pandemic levels.
New home sales data from December 2024 showed an increase to 698,000 units, up from 674,000 in November. Looking ahead, new home sales are expected to reach 670,000 units by the end of Q1 2025.
The multifamily sector is experiencing headwinds, with starts falling 25% in 2024 to 355,000 units. Experts project another 11% decline in 2025 before stabilizing later in the year. Supply chain issues and high interest rates are key factors impacting multifamily construction.
Recent policy changes are influencing regional markets. For example, new taxes on holiday homes in Victoria, Australia have led to increased property sell-offs, affecting supply and demand dynamics.
Industry leaders are adapting to these challenges. Homebuilders are expressing optimism about potential deregulation efforts and tax reform extensions. However, concerns remain about tariffs, particularly on lumber, which could increase construction costs.
Consumer behavior is shifting as buyers navigate affordability issues. The median existing home price reached $406,100 in November 2024, up 4.7% from the previous year. This price growth, combined with higher mortgage rates, is impacting purchasing decisions.
Overall, the US housing market is showing signs of gradual improvement, but continues to face significant hurdles in inventory, affordability, and construction costs. Industry stakeholders are closely monitoring economic indicators and policy changes as they navigate this complex landscape.
This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI