The current state of the US housing industry is marked by rising home prices and limited supply. As of September 2024, the median home-sale price reached $404,500, the highest September median ever recorded by the National Association of Realtors (NAR)[4]. Home prices increased by 4.2% in August 2024, according to the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller Index, marking the 15th consecutive all-time high[4].
Despite high prices, the housing market remains robust due to strong demand from first-time buyers and a persistent shortage of homes. The total inventory of existing homes available for sale stood at 1.39 million units in September 2024, up 23% from the previous year but still representing only a 4.3-month supply, which is below the 5 to 6 months needed for a balanced market[4].
Mortgage rates have come down from their peak but remain high, averaging 6.88% for a 30-year mortgage as of late October 2024[4]. This has tempered home-buying, with existing-home sales in September down by 3.5% from the previous year[4]. However, experts predict that if mortgage rates drop further, it could spur more activity in the market.
The US economy remains strong, with upward revisions to GDP growth and job growth, which supports the housing market[3]. First-time homebuyers are increasingly driving demand, but they face challenges in terms of affordability, supply, and overall economic conditions[3].
In response to current challenges, industry leaders are focusing on strategies to increase inventory and make homes more affordable. For example, the National Association of Realtors notes that more supply is beginning to appear, which could be an early indicator of more home sales later[4]. Additionally, the Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts are expected to boost the housing market, although the impact may be modest due to continued tightness in the existing inventory and homebuyers waiting for further rate declines[3].
Compared to the previous reporting period, the housing market has shown some signs of thawing, with the decline in mortgage rates and a slowdown in house price appreciation[3]. However, the supply-demand imbalance remains a core issue, and home prices are expected to continue growing as a result[3].
Key statistics and data from the past week include:
- Median home-sale price in September 2024: $404,500[4]
- Home price increase in August 2024: 4.2%[4]
- Total inventory of existing homes in September 2024: 1.39 million units[4]
- Average 30-year mortgage rate as of late October 2024: 6.88%[4]
- Existing-home sales in September 2024: Down by 3.5% from the previous year[4]
Overall, the US housing industry is navigating a complex landscape of high prices, limited supply, and changing consumer behavior. Industry leaders are responding by focusing on strategies to increase inventory and make homes more affordable, but the supply-demand imbalance remains a significant challenge.
This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI