The US housing market is currently experiencing a period of subdued activity marked by slow sales, significant affordability challenges, and shifting consumer preferences. In June 2025, new single-family home sales in the US increased just 0.6 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 627000 units, but this figure remains 6.6 percent below levels seen last June. Over the past two months, sales have hovered at their slowest pace since October last year. Mortgage rates continue to average above 6.8 percent, holding many potential buyers on the sidelines. Inventory also continues to mount, with new single-family home supply up 1.2 percent from the previous month, reaching 511000 units and leaving months of supply at 9.8, compared to a near balanced market at six months a year ago. Sellers and builders are responding by offering more concessions or cutting prices to keep deals together, as new listings have dropped to their lowest point in nearly two years.
House price growth is expected to moderate, with Fannie Mae forecasting a 2.8 percent rise for 2025, a clear slowdown from the previous forecast of 4.1 percent. Redfin also anticipates a 1 percent decrease in home prices by year end. Despite higher overall inventory, a persistent housing shortage of 4.7 million homes continues to underpin long-term demand, even as builders slow their pace, particularly outside the Midwest. Housing starts edged up 4.6 percent month over month in June but remain below last year’s levels.
Luxury housing stands resilient, aided by a strong labor market. Affluent buyers, supported by stable employment, remain active but are highly selective, shifting attention toward smaller and more affordable inland markets. Notable metropolitan areas like St. Louis and Detroit top current rankings for value and strong fundamentals.
In summary, affordability constraints driven by high rates and stagnant wages have created a cautious, buyer-friendly landscape, even as supply improves. The primary barrier in the current market is the high cost of ownership, not lack of inventory, distinguishing current conditions from the competitive, inventory-starved market of 2021 or 2022. Industry leaders are countering headwinds with more incentives and pricing flexibility, awaiting rate relief to reignite stronger demand.
For great deals today, check out https://amzn.to/44ci4hQ
This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI