Over the past 48 hours, the US housing market has settled into an unusually stagnant phase, marked by high mortgage rates near 6.7 to 7 percent and weak market activity. According to recent data, annualized existing home sales in June dropped to about 3.93 million units, down 2.7 percent from May and at a nine-month low. Pending home sales also slipped 2.8 percent year-over-year, with contract signings during what is typically the busy spring season hitting their lowest level since 2012. The market’s median sales price is now at $410,800 for the second quarter of 2025, reflecting both a 2.8 percent annual increase in the Case-Shiller 20-City Index and a rare month-over-month decline, the first such drop in nearly two years. The pace of price growth has slowed considerably from previous years[1][5].
Inventory is rising faster than buyer demand, especially in the South and West, pushing the total value of unsold homes to $700 billion and creating inventory levels sufficient for 4.7 months of sales, well above recent norms. Many listings are now languishing on the market for more than 60 days[1][2]. Regionally, single-family home values are up 1.6 percent in the past year, but condominium prices fell by 1.4 percent[1]. Despite this increase in supply, buyers remain cautious. Recent reports note that some motivated sellers in cities like Denver, Phoenix, and Austin are accepting bids below their initial listing prices due to overestimated expectations and reduced buyer urgency[2].
On the regulatory and lending side, the industry remains stable. Analysts point to stronger loan quality and more conservative lending practices, with US borrowers’ median credit score at 772 and limited use of risky mortgage products, reducing the risk of a 2008-style crash[4][3]. Market analysts currently expect only minor home value declines—Zillow, for instance, predicts a 2 percent drop this year—while home sales may still exceed 2024 levels by about 2.5 percent[3].
Industry leaders are responding by recalibrating launch strategies, adjusting price expectations, and holding off on aggressive expansions while closely monitoring Federal Reserve policy for any sign of lower rates, which could revive demand[1][6]. Until then, the sector is expected to remain in a period of high prices, sluggish sales, and increasing market segmentation compared to recent years.
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This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI