The US housing market is showing signs of a slow but steady recovery as we head into the holiday season. In the past week, the median sale price rose to 393,411, up 2.3 percent from a year ago, marking the biggest increase in seven months. This comes despite slow demand, with mortgage rates holding steady at around 6.24 percent, the lowest level in over a year. The slight dip in rates has encouraged more sellers to list their homes, pushing active inventory up 12.6 percent compared to last year, with about 1.1 million homes for sale last week.
Buyers are taking advantage of the lower rates, but competition remains muted. Homes are taking longer to sell, averaging 51 days on the market, the slowest pace since 2016. The typical home is now selling for 1.5 percent below its final list price, the largest October discount since 2019. About 24.9 percent of homes still sold above list, but that’s down from last year, reflecting cooling competition.
Regionally, the market is split. The Midwest and Northeast are seeing robust sales, with some sellers getting offers above asking price, while the South and West continue to struggle with weaker demand. Cities like Cleveland, Pittsburgh, and Detroit are posting double-digit price gains, while markets like Dallas, Miami, and Seattle are seeing declines.
Existing home sales rose 1.2 percent in October, hitting an eight-month high, driven by buyers returning to the market. Inventory now stands at a 4.4-month supply, the highest in years, but still below pre-pandemic levels. First-time buyers remain at a historic low, making up just 21 percent of purchasers, while repeat buyers, often older and using cash or equity, dominate the market.
Industry leaders are responding by focusing on affordability and flexibility. Some are launching new mortgage products and partnerships to attract buyers, while others are adjusting pricing strategies to move inventory. The rental market continues to soften, with rents falling for the 29th straight month, adding pressure on homeownership rates.
Overall, the market is drifting sideways, with modest price gains, rising inventory, and cautious consumer behavior. The outlook for 2026 is more optimistic, with economists predicting a 14 percent jump in sales and a 4 percent price gain, supported by strong job growth and persistent undersupply.
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This content was created in partnership and with the help of Artificial Intelligence AI