🎙️ Worldwide Markets Ep. 651 — "Value on the JSE? We Find the Cheapest Shares" (8 October 2025)

📅 Recorded Tuesday afternoon | Powered by Standard Bank & SHYFT

💡 Episode Overview

This week Simon Brown digs into value on the JSE — where the cheapest shares might be hiding 👀. He also unpacks:

• The Purple Group* pullback 🟣
• ETF returns so far in 2025 📈 (spoiler: it's been a wild year!)
• Upcoming Standard Bank Power Hour: Investing Like Warren Buffett 🧠

🟣 Purple Group: Pullback or Panic?

• After a huge rally to R2.74, Purple Group has pulled back — but no need to panic.
• Likely to find support around R2.10, with upside targets around R3.50 💪.
• Expecting strong trading updates by late October or early November.
• With markets, gold, crypto, and offshore assets all flying, Purple should benefit as trading volumes rise.

📊 2025 ETF Returns — A Booming Year

Simon's recent ETF analysis shows a banner year for SA ETFs (excluding dividends): 🏆 Top Performers:

• Satrix RESI* +118% 🪨
• Satrix Shariah +69% 🌙 (thanks to heavy gold exposure)
• 10X Top 20, Rafi 40*, Gold ETFs, SWIX, and EasyETFs Global Equity (Active) all strong 📈

📉 Laggards:

• Signia Health Innovation −9.2% 🧬
• India ETF −8.7% 🇮🇳
• Global Bonds & Healthcare ETFs slightly negative

🪙 Overall takeaway: 2025 is a golden year — literally and figuratively.

💸 Value Hunt: The Cheapest Shares on the JSE

Simon's criteria for spotting value gems 💎:

• PE ratio: 0–10 (profitable companies only)
• Dividend yield: >0.01% (sign of free cash flow)
• Price-to-book:

🔍 Highlights from the Screen

Property & Small Caps: 🏢 Ascension, Safari, Emira, Octodec — deep discounts to NAV, juicy yields (~8%). 🚍 Putprop — Western Cape bus operator, tiny but intriguing (PE 5.7, yield 3.5%). 🏠 Calgro M3* — low-cost housing builder, due for results soon; Baldwin also looking attractive.

Media & Industrials: 📺 E-Media — PE 4.8, dividend ~12%, cheap but illiquid. 🪵 Sappi & Mondi — paper industry under pressure. ⚙️ Invicta — PE 🪓 Master Drilling — exposure to gold & copper, global operations, decent IP. 📦 Mpact — tied up in Caxton's bid & Competition Commission delays.

Consumer & Financials: 🛋️ Lewis Group — "a bank disguised as a furniture store," 10%+ yield, strong results. 🏦 Investec, ABSA, Nedbank — cheap banks with high yields and solid balance sheets. 🧓 Old Mutual — ~9% yield, launching a bank soon; well positioned in bull markets. 🚗 Motus & CMH* — benefiting from decade-high vehicle sales. 📦 Stor-age*, Spear, Growthpoint — steady property plays; prefer those with discounts to NAV.

Other Notables: 🐟 Sea Harvest & Oceana — solid businesses, but "fish stocks make for tough investments." 🪙 Sabvest — style value play, small discount to NAV. 💼 HCI — resolved union cash flow issues, trades below asset value. 🎙️ African Media Entertainment — great yield (10%), but beware of liquidity traps.

⚠️ Simon's Key Takeaways

✅ There is value on the JSE, but many bargains are illiquid — trade carefully. ✅ Liquidity traps can hurt even when valuations look great. ✅ Dividend yields + solid cash flow are strong signals of resilience. ✅ Always DYOR — "Not financial advice."

🧭 Final Thoughts

2025 continues to be a strong year for gold, ETFs, and SA banks, with pockets of deep value emerging across small caps and property.

💬 "Markets that are going higher make us feel richer — but if we're positioned right, they actually make us richer." — Simon Brown

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👋 Closing Note: Nine more episodes to go this year! Simon signs off: "Look after yourself — and if you can, look after somebody else as well." ❤️

Simon Brown

* I hold ungeared positions.

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