For months we have been relying on experts to get us through the COVID-19 pandemic but with each passing week, it is becoming clearer that they have no idea what success looks like but failure is clear as a bell and the most likely outcome. If you think we're going to return to our lives any time soon, you are probably wrong. We explore the Massachusetts random sample that turns our response on its head, and why Greg Combet was right about Virgin and ScoMo was wrong.