Football starts early... We Ready..Here are my favorite Player Props for the #NFL week 4. 🏈 Justin Herbert Over 252.5 Passing YardsHerbert averaging 286.7 yards per game in 2025, hitting 300+ in last week's comeback vs Broncos. Giants defense allowing 252 yards per game through the air, ranking 28th in pass defense. Herbert has topped 256 yards in 5 of his last 6 regular season games. Chargers' pass-first offense (59 dropbacks vs 25 runs last week) sets up volume play.🏈 Geno Smith Over 256.5 Passing YardsSmith averaging 277 yards per game with Raiders, leading NFL in big pass plays and ranking 2nd in total passing yards behind only Herbert. Bears defense struggling, allowing 75% completion rate to opposing QBs and 6.7 yards per play. Smith threw for 289 yards and 3 TDs in his last outing vs Commanders. Raiders at home needing bounce-back performance after two straight double-digit losses.🏈 Derrick Henry Anytime TouchdownHenry with 14 rushing TDs in 2024, averaging 1 TD per game this season despite fumble issues. Ravens face Chiefs defense that allowed rushing TDs to RBs in 2 of 3 games this season, both in red zone. Henry historically dominant vs KC with 7 rushing TDs in 5 previous meetings. Ravens 85.5% red zone TD conversion rate with Henry. Baltimore needs statement game after three straight fumbles. 🏈 DK Metcalf Over 50.5 Receiving YardsMetcalf averaging 45 yards per game but leading NFL with 10.1 yards after catch, showing elite playmaking ability. Vikings secondary vulnerable - his former team Seattle just torched Cards for big plays Thursday night. Metcalf's usage trending up with 6 targets last week vs Steelers defense. Pittsburgh offense needs more downfield passing after ranking 74th in intended air yards for Metcalf.🏈 Dalton Kincaid Over 35.5 Receiving YardsKincaid leading Bills in targets over last two weeks, averaging 50.3 yards per game with 2 TDs already matching each of his first two seasons. Saints allowing 12th-highest yards per reception to TEs and 13th-most fantasy points to position. Bills spread offense with 4 different pass-catchers over 110 yards - only team in NFL to accomplish this. Josh Allen's safety valve in high-scoring Bills offense.🏈 Baker Mayfield Over 17.5 Rushing YardsMayfield with 116 rushing yards through 3 games, ranking 4th among all QBs and averaging 38.7 yards per game. Already on pace to shatter Tampa Bay franchise record for QB rushing yards in single season (425 by Steve Young). Eagles allowing 5.2 yards per carry, ranking 24th in run defense. With Mike Evans out and receiving corps banged up, Mayfield forced to extend plays with legs more often.