Betting markets are increasingly predicting a victory for Donald Trump in the upcoming 2024 presidential election, despite national polls indicating a closer race. The article explores the discrepancies between these two measures of election sentiment, highlighting the potential for skewed data in betting markets due to a disproportionate number of Trump supporters participating. Additionally, the article examines the impact of a potential Trump win on the stock market, noting that investors are increasingly optimistic about the prospect of deregulation under a Trump presidency.